@benjamincowen
“@benjamincowen holds a 48.6% all-time accuracy across 61 calls, focusing primarily on BTC and ETH with a balanced long/short bias and a slight edge in long-term and mid-term calls. His YTD accuracy of 55.7% suggests improving form, with his strongest pattern in break/pump setups where he has built a consistent body of conditional calls.”
Score Breakdown
| CallRank Score | Move · Path · Time | Scored | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALL-TIME | 49% | 0.65 · 0.47 · 0.44 | 61 |
| YTD | 53% | 0.73 · 0.50 · 0.50 | 23 |
| 30D | 70% | 0.80 · 0.74 · 0.73 | 4 |
CallRank Score by Duration
Short term35% 6 calls
Medium term49% 29 calls
Long term51% 26 calls
CallRank Score · Last 12 Months
Asset Breakdown — Top 5
| Asset | CallRank Score | Calls | 🟢 Bull · 🔴 Bear |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 51% | 40 | 16 · 24 |
| ETH | 44% | 21 | 17 · 4 |
Live Calls Summary · By Horizon
@benjamincowen's active forecasts grouped by horizon and asset. L = Long, S = Short, number = open call count.
Active assets for this forecaster:
| No assets selected | |
|---|---|
| ST | — |
| MT | — |
| LT | — |
ST = Short term · MT = Medium term · LT = Long term
Active Calls · 16 Live
BE
𝕏
Simulation confirmed https://t.co/m3zSDJyXpa
Max Favorable +1.2%Max Adverse −5.2%ACTIVE
BE
𝕏
While this bear market feels different, Bitcoin is still tracking the average of prior midterm-year bear markets.
Structurally, the market typically gets one final countertrend rally sometime in the summer before the final low occurs later in the year. https://t.co/ybrCMHz9Wr
Max Favorable +5.0%Max Adverse −4.3%ACTIVE
BE
𝕏
While I think BTC bottoms in Q4 2026, the time to start accumulating BTC is often after the drop into the summer.
I basically just ignore Bitcoin for the first half of midterm years, then look for deals in the second half.
You do not have to time bottoms exactly to make money
Max Favorable +20.9%Max Adverse −1.9%ACTIVE
BE
𝕏
Bitcoin has fallen back below the bear market resistance band. Bear market likely to continue, just like it has in prior midterm years. https://t.co/RTQa1krTxA
Max Favorable +20.8%Max Adverse −2.1%ACTIVE
BE
𝕏
Ethereum is likely heading to its lower logarithmic regression trend line, which roughly aligns with the April 2025 lows. https://t.co/a7oXEEOjx5
Max Favorable +29.7%Max Adverse −0.5%ACTIVE
Scored Calls · Full Audit Trail
BE
𝕏
Plausible path:
Bitcoin forms a low in June (like it did in June 2018 and June 2022).
BTC rallies in July
SPX correction later in year which allows Bitcoin to finally bottom (most likely October)
Four year cycle wins again
Max Favorable +0.9%Max Adverse −14.1%Opportunity 0.66Time 0.00Magnitude 0.66Score 0.19
BE
𝕏
Trying to predict short-term price action is hard, as I generally consider the short-term moves akin to a random walk, or geometric brownian motion.
..but..
if i had to guess, I would guess that BTC tags $70k soon, then gets a small bounce.
But after the bounce is over (likely a few days to a week or so), I do think BTC will head back to the lows from February 2026.
If I'm wrong about BTC revisiting the lows from February, I will quote tweet this and simply say "I was wrong."
And then I will let every bull dunk away.
Max Favorable +0.1%Max Adverse −15.7%Opportunity 0.17Time 0.00Magnitude 0.17Score 0.05
BE
𝕏
Trying to predict short-term price action is hard, as I generally consider the short-term moves akin to a random walk, or geometric brownian motion.
..but..
if i had to guess, I would guess that BTC tags $70k soon, then gets a small bounce.
But after the bounce is over (likely a few days to a week or so), I do think BTC will head back to the lows from February 2026.
If I'm wrong about BTC revisiting the lows from February, I will quote tweet this and simply say "I was wrong."
And then I will let every bull dunk away.
Max Favorable +21.4%Max Adverse −0.0%Opportunity 0.91Time 1.00Magnitude 0.91Score 0.92
BE
𝕏
Bitcoin Weakness Window https://t.co/l6cIUrTJRW
Max Favorable +21.0%Max Adverse −1.2%Opportunity 0.92Time 0.94Magnitude 0.92Score 0.89
BE
𝕏
Bitcoin: Dubious Speculation
In this video we talk about Bitcoin nearing the 200D SMA.
In 2018/2022, the 200D SMA was the local high.
In 2014/2019, BTC went slightly above.
In 2014/2018/2022, the lower high occurred around the 0.382 Fib retracement, which is around $85k.
But in 2018 and 2022 that corresponded to the 200D SMA.
Tough market to get right, but my guess is that a lower high is eventually formed and then BTC forms a major low in October 2026.
Max Favorable +0.4%Max Adverse −27.3%Opportunity 0.36Time 0.00Magnitude 0.36Score 0.10