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Call Audit
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Passport #82415 · May 28, 2026 · 04:23 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Bitcoin has fallen back below the bear market resistance band. Bear market likely to continue, just like it has in prior midterm years. https://t.co/RTQa1krTxA
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish call as forecaster states 'bear market likely to continue' after BTC fell below resistance. 'Likely' qualifier makes this a mild hedge. No specific price targets stated.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC bear market continues. No explicit horizon phrase bound to the outcome. 'Bear market likely to continue' with macro framing ('bear market', 'prior midterm years') is an earnest macro statement → Signal H base 120.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $73,004 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 90 |
| Duration used in scoring | 90 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $73,004 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1509.7,
"mfe": 15204.21,
"mqs": 0.800627,
"ocs": 0.909674,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.500829,
"sigma_d": 0.0221917,
"eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.800627,
"max_close": 74257.7,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-05-28 04:23:02+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 90,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.612577,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.802782,
"activation_price": 73004.4,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 3557,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.12915,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 6,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 6,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 6,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 6
}