Call Audit

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Passport #82415 · May 28, 2026 · 04:23 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@benjamincowen

May 28, 2026 · 04:23 UTC

Bitcoin has fallen back below the bear market resistance band. Bear market likely to continue, just like it has in prior midterm years. https://t.co/RTQa1krTxA

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	90 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Bearish call as forecaster states 'bear market likely to continue' after BTC fell below resistance. 'Likely' qualifier makes this a mild hedge. No specific price targets stated.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC bear market continues. No explicit horizon phrase bound to the outcome. 'Bear market likely to continue' with macro framing ('bear market', 'prior midterm years') is an earnest macro statement → Signal H base 120.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$73,004
Target	—
Duration	90 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	90
Duration used in scoring	90

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$73,004
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 1509.7,
  "mfe": 15204.21,
  "mqs": 0.800627,
  "ocs": 0.909674,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.500829,
  "sigma_d": 0.0221917,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.800627,
  "max_close": 74257.7,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-05-28 04:23:02+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 90,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.612577,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.802782,
  "activation_price": 73004.4,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 3557,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.12915,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 6,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 6,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 6,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 6
}