Call Audit

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Passport #82700 · May 29, 2026 · 14:53 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

@benjamincowen

May 29, 2026 · 14:53 UTC

While I think BTC bottoms in Q4 2026, the time to start accumulating BTC is often after the drop into the summer. I basically just ignore Bitcoin for the first half of midterm years, then look for deals in the second half. You do not have to time bottoms exactly to make money

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@benjamincowen's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	216 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Poster expects BTC to drop into summer before bottoming in Q4 2026, indicating a down call. No specific price targets provided. 'I think' signals a mild hedge.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC bottoms (directional down). 'Q4 2026' is bound to the outcome ('BTC bottoms in Q4 2026'). D = 2026-05-29; Q4 2026 ends Dec 31, 2026; Dec 31 2026 − May 29 2026 = 216 days.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$73,097
Target	—
Duration	216 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	explicit_text
Duration stated (days)	216
Duration used in scoring	216

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$73,097
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 1417.25,
  "mfe": 15296.66,
  "mqs": 0.813404,
  "ocs": 0.915205,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.342567,
  "sigma_d": 0.02188823,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.813404,
  "max_close": 74257.7,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-05-29 14:53:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 216,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.678807,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.767794,
  "activation_price": 73096.85,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 3419,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.124651,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 2,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 2,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}