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Passport #83633 · Jun 2, 2026 · 19:51 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
BE@benjamincowen
Jun 2, 2026 · 19:51 UTC
𝕏 Plausible path:
Bitcoin forms a low in June (like it did in June 2018 and June 2022).
BTC rallies in July
SPX correction later in year which allows Bitcoin to finally bottom (most likely October)
Four year cycle wins again
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 31 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Per Stage 2, only the first leg (July rally) is extracted as directional up. No numeric targets provided. 'Plausible path' framing indicates heavy hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC rallies in July. 'In July' is bound to the outcome (rally). D = 2026-06-02; last day of July 2026 = July 31, 2026; 31 days out → explicit_timeframe = 31.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $67,315 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 31 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.19composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.66 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.06 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.00 |
| Magnitude | 0.66 |
| Max Favorable Move | +0.9% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −14.1% |
| Candles evaluated | 2976 · 1d |
| Eval window | Jun 2, 2026 · 19:51 UTC → Jul 3, 2026 · 19:51 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 31 |
| Duration used in scoring | 31 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | heavy_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $67,315 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 9514.95,
"mfe": 608.1,
"mqs": 0.662762,
"ocs": 0.060071,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-06-02 21:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.040657,
"sigma_d": 0.01662171,
"eval_end": "2026-07-03 19:51:19+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.662762,
"max_close": 67887.99,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-02 19:51:19+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 31,
"mew_days_used": 31,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.086967,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.190873,
"activation_price": 67315.14,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2976,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.008311,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 32,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 32,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 32
}