For everyone calling this the bottom...
At the very least, wait until the U.S.–Iran conflict is over before making that call.
Imagine this drags on for another year.
Does it really make sense to be calling a bottom now?
You already know my view.
I think Bitcoin is going much lower over the coming months.
BTCActivation price $64,117.16Direction ShortType DirectionalTimeframe Long
Max Favorable +0.3%Max Adverse −0.1%ACTIVE
Here's my base case for the next 12–24 months:
> Tech stocks fall around 60% from current levels.
> Crypto gets crushed. I see Bitcoin somewhere between $16K–30K, Ethereum at $500–900, and altcoins... I'd rather not even talk about them.
> Gold corrects, but remains one of the best places to hide. I don't expect it to fall much compared to other assets.
> The U.S. dollar strengthens. King Dollar ($DXY) stays in control.
> Oil keeps pushing higher until the Strait of Hormuz fully reopens.
ETHActivation price $1,902.28Direction ShortType DirectionalTimeframe Long
Max Favorable +1.4%Max Adverse −0.3%ACTIVE
Here's my base case for the next 12–24 months:
> Tech stocks fall around 60% from current levels.
> Crypto gets crushed. I see Bitcoin somewhere between $16K–30K, Ethereum at $500–900, and altcoins... I'd rather not even talk about them.
> Gold corrects, but remains one of the best places to hide. I don't expect it to fall much compared to other assets.
> The U.S. dollar strengthens. King Dollar ($DXY) stays in control.
> Oil keeps pushing higher until the Strait of Hormuz fully reopens.
BTCActivation price $65,049.99Direction ShortType DirectionalTimeframe Long
Max Favorable +0.6%Max Adverse −0.3%ACTIVE
We may chop around inside this red box for a while.
Short-term timing is almost impossible.
But I don't think this bear market ends without Bitcoin at least testing $30K https://t.co/FZn2brMZny
BTCActivation price $66,500.55Direction ShortType DirectionalTimeframe Long
Max Favorable +0.7%Max Adverse −0.0%ACTIVE
I strongly believe we’ll see 30K within the next 3–4 months.
After that, I expect Q1 2027 to bring a sharp relief rally.
That’s when most people will start calling for new all-time highs again.
bitcoin:native
BTCActivation price $59,542Direction ShortType DirectionalTimeframe Long
Max Favorable +0.2%Max Adverse −6.6%ACTIVE