Call Audit

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Passport #128857 · Jun 20, 2026 · 17:53 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

@alejandro_XBT

Jun 20, 2026 · 17:53 UTC

ethereum:native 99% → We hit $1,000 60% → We hit $600 35% → We hit $350 The only question is how slowly the market wants to deliver the pain. https://t.co/uAfCnlvP5I

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@alejandro_XBT's ETH record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

ETH

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	ETH
Direction	Short
Commitment	declarative
Duration	90 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Clear bearish call with 99% probability assigned to $1,000 — treated as primary declarative target. Lower-probability extensions ($600, $350) are hedged secondary scenarios and not the main committed target. 'Pain' language confirms down direction.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = ETH declines (bearish directional call toward $1,000/$600/$350). No outcome-anchored horizon phrase; 'how slowly the market wants to deliver the pain' is vague flavor, not a timeframe. No bounce, bottom, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	ETH
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$1,727
Target	$1,000 – $1,000
Duration	90 days · Long Term

Scoring

0.64composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.85
Path Score (OCS)	0.73
Time Score (TIF)	0.67
Magnitude	0.85
Max Favorable Move	+12.4%
Max Unfavorable Move	−4.7%
Candles evaluated	1391 · 1w
Eval window	Jun 20, 2026 · 17:53 UTC → Jul 5, 2026 · 05:30 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	90
Duration used in scoring	90

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$1,727
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 80.79,
  "mfe": 214.86,
  "mqs": 0.851042,
  "ocs": 0.726737,
  "tif": 0.666667,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-06-26 03:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.317469,
  "sigma_d": 0.02814556,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-05 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.851042,
  "max_close": 1804.67,
  "min_close": 1522.68,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-20 17:53:10+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 90,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.904091,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.640479,
  "activation_price": 1726.86,
  "dir_target_score": 0.280907,
  "candles_evaluated": 1391,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.065345,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 3,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 3,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 3
}