Call Audit

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Passport #141591 · Jun 27, 2026 · 13:15 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

@alejandro_XBT

Jun 27, 2026 · 13:15 UTC

I don't understand what makes people believe 60K is the bottom. There's no real reaction. No meaningful demand. And we've tested this critical support too many times already. It's only a matter of time before it breaks. You don't need to be a genius to see what's happening.

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@alejandro_XBT's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	declarative
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	$60,000
Trigger Operator	Break Below

AI Reasoning

60K is the support trigger that must break for the bearish thesis to activate. Forecaster declaratively states it's 'only a matter of time before it breaks' implying downside continuation. No numeric target stated.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC breaks below 60K support and continues down. Per §0.5, 'before it breaks' is trigger language; no horizon phrase is attached to the outcome. 'It's only a matter of time' is vague forward language with no bounce/bottom/urgency/macro signal → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$59,577
Target	—
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger level	$60,000
Trigger operator	Break Below
Conditional operator	Category B — Break/Dump/Lose/Close Below
Trigger hit	Yes
Trigger time	Jun 29, 2026 · 00:00 UTC

Scoring

0.23composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.54
Path Score (OCS)	0.19
Time Score (TIF)	0.03
Magnitude	0.54
Max Favorable Move	+3.0%
Max Unfavorable Move	−12.4%
Candles evaluated	2881 · 1d
Eval window	Jun 29, 2026 · 00:00 UTC → Jul 29, 2026 · 00:00 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$60,469
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 7379.14,
  "mfe": 1776.82,
  "mqs": 0.539605,
  "ocs": 0.194062,
  "tif": 0.032258,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.135679,
  "sigma_d": 0.02684045,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-29 00:00:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.539605,
  "max_close": 66944.4,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-29 00:00:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": 59577.01,
  "trigger_ts": "2026-06-29 00:00:00+00:00",
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": true,
  "trigger_hit": true,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.775671,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.225401,
  "activation_price": 59577.01,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 2881,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.038449,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 31,
  "trigger_candle_index": 1,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 31,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}