@merlijntrader
“@merlijntrader carries a 51.5% all-time accuracy across 2,369 calls, focusing on BTC, ETH, and altcoins like HBAR and AXL with a heavy lean toward long setups (86% bullish). Their strongest edge sits in mid-term Break/Pump calls, though a YTD dip to 42.4% suggests recent market conditions have been working against their predominantly bullish bias.”
Score Breakdown
| CallRank Score | Move · Path · Time | Scored | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALL-TIME | 51% | 0.65 · 0.49 · 0.49 | 2403 |
| YTD | 43% | 0.60 · 0.40 · 0.38 | 860 |
| 30D | 40% | 0.54 · 0.41 · 0.38 | 78 |
CallRank Score by Duration
Short term49% 203 calls
Medium term54% 953 calls
Long term50% 1247 calls
CallRank Score · Last 12 Months
Asset Breakdown — Top 5
| Asset | CallRank Score | Calls | 🟢 Bull · 🔴 Bear |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 50% | 1569 | 1264 · 305 |
| ETH | 56% | 733 | 694 · 39 |
| HBAR | 47% | 21 | 21 · 0 |
| AXL | 35% | 11 | 11 · 0 |
| XRP | 40% | 10 | 10 · 0 |
Live Calls Summary · By Horizon
@merlijntrader's active forecasts grouped by horizon and asset. L = Long, S = Short, number = open call count.
Active assets for this forecaster:
| No assets selected | |
|---|---|
| ST | — |
| MT | — |
| LT | — |
ST = Short term · MT = Medium term · LT = Long term
Active Calls · 50 Live
ME
𝕏
BITCOIN BEARS WANT $40K. THE CHART THEY'RE USING SAYS THEY MISSED THE BOTTOM.
Everyone lays 2022 over 2026.
That pushes the low months into the future and has people waiting on a date instead of a level.
Flip it. Put 2026 over 2022 and the structures line up on price.
The low sits where Bitcoin has already traded.
Now look at the room. All of CT is bearish. The news is bearish. The consensus thesis is down.
That has always been one of the better indicators, and it rarely points where the crowd thinks it does.
Price $63,526. Lose $58K on a weekly close and my alignment is wrong.
Max Favorable +1.0%Max Adverse −0.8%ACTIVE
ME
𝕏
YES, ETHEREUM FAILED AT $1,940. THAT WAS THE POINT.
The sweep I was waiting for just printed. Now the zone matters.
The highs above the range were the only liquidity left. Price took them, rejected, and is working back down.
Price $1,885. The BOS zone sits at $1,750 to $1,815. That's where the pullback becomes an entry.
Lose $1,750 on a daily close and the structure failed.
Most people read the sweep as the move being over. It's what makes the move possible.
PENDING TRIGGER
ME
𝕏
YES, ETHEREUM FAILED AT $1,940. THAT WAS THE POINT.
The sweep I was waiting for just printed. Now the zone matters.
The highs above the range were the only liquidity left. Price took them, rejected, and is working back down.
Price $1,885. The BOS zone sits at $1,750 to $1,815. That's where the pullback becomes an entry.
Lose $1,750 on a daily close and the structure failed.
Most people read the sweep as the move being over. It's what makes the move possible.
PENDING TRIGGER
ME
𝕏
THE BITCOIN SELLING HAS STOPPED. MOST PEOPLE WON'T NOTICE FOR MONTHS.
The sell model has five steps.
Base, expansion, top, then two distribution ranges. Every one printed since 2024.
Price $64,055, sitting in the fifth box. That's the one where selling ends.
Lose $58K on a weekly close and the model failed.
Distribution doesn't end with a crash. It ends with a range nobody wants to trade.
PENDING TRIGGER
ME
𝕏
ONE BITCOIN CHART NOBODY IS TALKING ABOUT
CME leveraged funds have been net short Bitcoin for most of three years. Consistently. Structurally.
They flipped long twice.
April 2025: +30%.
March 2026: +30%.
The smartest leveraged money on the CME just flipped directional for the third time.
Retail is bearish. Quantum fears. CLARITY delayed. Death Cross. The funds are positioned the other way.
Watch what they do. Not what you feel.
Max Favorable +0.2%Max Adverse −0.2%ACTIVE
Scored Calls · Full Audit Trail
ME
𝕏
YES, 2026 LOOKS LIKE 2022. THAT'S WHY $40K IS THE WRONG CONCLUSION.
Both charts show the same bottom structure. Three lows underneath. Three taps into the same resistance box above.
What people forget is what came next in 2022: one final flush after the third tap, then the move.
Not a new bear leg. A liquidation event.
2026 has printed everything except that last piece. Price is at $63,592.
I expect the flush this week, into $60K–$61K. That's where my orders sit and where I will open a big position
Lose $58K on a weekly close and I'm wrong about the whole structure.
The bottom is in. The pain isn't finished.
Max Favorable +0.1%Max Adverse −3.1%Opportunity 0.12Time 0.00Magnitude 0.12Score 0.04
ME
𝕏
Bitcoin is dumping.
I honestly don’t care.
We’re making money on the way down.
Trade the market…
Not your emotions.
If you want the next setup before the move…
Check the replies. 👇 https://t.co/wQ1Ga70HPt
Max Favorable +0.7%Max Adverse −2.4%Opportunity 0.60Time 0.32Magnitude 0.60Score 0.31
ME
𝕏
THIS IS THE BITCOIN DCA ZONE PEOPLE WILL PRETEND THEY BOUGHT IN 2028.
The curve's track record:
2019 zone: +2,120% to $69K.
2022 zone: +650% to $126K.
Nobody bragged about buying those zones while price sat in them. Only after.
2026 zone: price is inside it right now.
Projection: +192% to $170K.
Invalidation: a monthly close below $50K
Max Favorable +0.1%Max Adverse −0.6%Opportunity 0.13Time 0.04Magnitude 0.13Score 0.11
ME
𝕏
While everyone is calling for higher prices…
I’m seeing more and more weakness on Ethereum.
That’s why I’m preparing for sell $ETH setups.
If the trigger comes, I’ll be ready.
My community gets every setup before it happens.
Check the replies. 👇 https://t.co/J7krIQn8we
Max Favorable +1.7%Max Adverse −11.3%Opportunity 0.68Time 0.03Magnitude 0.68Score 0.23
ME
𝕏
BITCOIN IS DOWN 3% AS MARKETS OPEN TO A WAR.
The US hit Iran again this weekend.
Oil +4.25%. Nasdaq futures −1.24%. S&P −0.56%.
First session since the escalation.
Hold 63,000 and it's a shakeout. Lose it, oil runs the tape.
Watching: 63,000. https://t.co/Diy1kkO8Xe
Max Favorable +1.3%Max Adverse −1.7%Opportunity 0.74Time 0.62Magnitude 0.74Score 0.52