Call Audit

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Passport #182327 · Aug 11, 2026 · 09:00 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

@merlijntrader

Aug 11, 2026 · 09:00 UTC

THE BITCOIN SELLING HAS STOPPED. MOST PEOPLE WON'T NOTICE FOR MONTHS. The sell model has five steps. Base, expansion, top, then two distribution ranges. Every one printed since 2024. Price $64,055, sitting in the fifth box. That's the one where selling ends. Lose $58K on a weekly close and the model failed. Distribution doesn't end with a crash. It ends with a range nobody wants to trade.

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@merlijntrader's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	declarative
Duration	60 days · Medium Term
Trigger	$58,000
Trigger Operator	Break Below

AI Reasoning

Single conditional claim: losing $58K on a weekly close invalidates the bullish 'selling has stopped' thesis, implying bearish continuation below that trigger. No specific downside target stated.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC drops (model fails) if price loses $58K. Per §0.5, 'weekly close' is fused to the trigger condition, not the outcome — no horizon phrase is bound to the predicted bearish move. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires for this leg → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$64,136
Target	—
Duration	60 days · Medium Term
Trigger level	$58,000
Trigger operator	Break Below
Conditional operator	Category B — Break/Dump/Lose/Close Below
Trigger hit	No

Scoring

This call is conditional pending — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	60
Duration used in scoring	—

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B->4B_modeB
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$64,136
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mqs": null,
  "ocs": null,
  "tif": null,
  "status": "untriggered",
  "eval_end": "2026-08-11 19:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": null,
  "eval_start": "2026-08-11 09:00:00+00:00",
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "trigger_hit": false,
  "review_flags": {},
  "accuracy_score": null,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 43
}