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Call Audit
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Passport #175457 · Aug 4, 2026 · 10:00 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
YES, 2026 LOOKS LIKE 2022. THAT'S WHY $40K IS THE WRONG CONCLUSION.
Both charts show the same bottom structure. Three lows underneath. Three taps into the same resistance box above.
What people forget is what came next in 2022: one final flush after the third tap, then the move.
Not a new bear leg. A liquidation event.
2026 has printed everything except that last piece. Price is at $63,592.
I expect the flush this week, into $60K–$61K. That's where my orders sit and where I will open a big position
Lose $58K on a weekly close and I'm wrong about the whole structure.
The bottom is in. The pain isn't finished.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
First leg is a flush down to the 60K-61K reversal zone. 'I expect the flush this week, into $60K-$61K' is declarative committed temporal language for the first leg of the combination path.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC flushes to $60K–$61K. 'I expect the flush this week' — 'this week' is bound to the outcome (the flush itself), not a trigger. §3.2: 'this week' → 7 days.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $63,511 |
| Target | $60,000 – $61,000 |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
Scoring
0.04composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.12 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.03 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.00 |
| Magnitude | 0.12 |
| Max Favorable Move | +0.1% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −3.1% |
| Candles evaluated | 672 · 4h |
| Eval window | Aug 4, 2026 · 10:00 UTC → Aug 11, 2026 · 10:00 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 7 |
| Duration used in scoring | 7 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3C->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $63,511 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1963.6,
"mfe": 59.06,
"mqs": 0.120403,
"ocs": 0.029199,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-04 10:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.008812,
"sigma_d": 0.01449702,
"eval_end": "2026-08-11 10:00:01+00:00",
"end_close": 64300,
"magnitude": 0.120403,
"max_close": 65408.05,
"min_close": 63470,
"eval_start": "2026-08-04 10:00:01+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-11 10:00:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 7,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.128291,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.039603,
"activation_price": 63510.86,
"dir_target_score": 0.016273,
"candles_evaluated": 672,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.007249,
"scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}