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Passport #181383 · Aug 10, 2026 · 15:00 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
ME@merlijntrader
Aug 10, 2026 · 15:00 UTC
EVERY PART OF THIS ETHEREUM SEQUENCE IS DESIGNED TO MAKE YOU SELL. YOU'RE AT THE LAST PART.
Two bear flags. Two flushes. Then the base. Same order, same disbelief at the same point.
2025 ran that sequence and the move out of the base was vertical.
2026 has printed all four parts. Price is at $1,912, sitting where the previous version turned.
And then most people will call for lower prices and miss the move.
Make sure you're not buying at $3,000. DCA while it's still discounted.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 60 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Direction is up — author argues the setup mirrors a prior sequence whose base led to a vertical move, warns against buying at $3,000 (implying price will rise there), and urges DCA while discounted. $1,912 is current price, not a target. $3,000 is a warning about future entry, not a stated destination target.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH moves up from $1,912. No explicit horizon phrase bound to the outcome. 'DCA while it's still discounted' is accumulation language (Signal E), base 30; no tiebreaker cues push it to 14, 60, or 90, and no macro payoff language routes to Signal H. Signal E base 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $1,876 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 60 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 60 |
| Duration used in scoring | 60 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $1,876 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 8.43,
"mfe": 17.19,
"mqs": 0.518482,
"ocs": 0.670958,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-10 15:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.029644,
"sigma_d": 0.02507136,
"eval_end": "2026-08-10 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 1876.89,
"magnitude": 0.518482,
"max_close": 1878.43,
"min_close": 1871.67,
"eval_start": "2026-08-10 15:00:01+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-10 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 60,
"mew_days_used": 60,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.730811,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.554771,
"activation_price": 1876.39,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 18,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.012536,
"scoring_candle_tf": "3d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
} 