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Passport #178268 · Aug 7, 2026 · 16:00 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

@merlijntrader

Aug 7, 2026 · 16:00 UTC

MAX PAIN IS WHERE THE TREND LINE AND EXHAUSTION MEET. MEANWHILE ETHEREUM IS ALREADY UP 27%. The line sits at $1,530. That's where 2020 touched at $110, right before the run to $4,900. Hope you weren't waiting for $1,400. The move already started. https://t.co/urkQ2FWCTA

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@merlijntrader's ETH record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

ETH

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	ETH
Direction	Long
Commitment	declarative
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Clear up call - ETH already up 27% and 'the move already started' with historical parallel implying a run similar to 2020's move from $110 to $4,900. The $1,530 is a trend line reference (current price context), $1,400 is a level they warn against waiting for (not a target), and $4,900 is a historical reference, not an explicit prediction. No explicit target number extracted.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = ETH continues upward move. No explicit horizon phrase bound to the outcome. No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires clearly; the post asserts the move has started but gives no timeframe → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	ETH
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$1,923
Target	—
Duration	30 days · Medium Term

Scoring

0.04composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.08
Path Score (OCS)	0.08
Time Score (TIF)	0.00
Magnitude	0.08
Max Favorable Move	+0.1%
Max Unfavorable Move	−0.9%
Candles evaluated	14 · 1d
Eval window	Aug 7, 2026 · 16:00 UTC → Aug 7, 2026 · 19:30 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$1,923
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 18,
  "mfe": 1.6,
  "mqs": 0.075029,
  "ocs": 0.081632,
  "tif": 0,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-08-07 16:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.003808,
  "sigma_d": 0.0213318,
  "eval_end": "2026-08-07 19:30:00+00:00",
  "end_close": 1914.36,
  "magnitude": 0.075029,
  "max_close": 1923.4,
  "min_close": 1907.16,
  "eval_start": "2026-08-07 16:00:02+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "end_close_ts": "2026-08-07 19:30:00+00:00",
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.077993,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.040117,
  "activation_price": 1923.4,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 14,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.010666,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}