The exact bottom being in or not should not be the primary focus
The primary focus should be that the upside heavily outweighs the downside
#Crypto has not been this offsides since 2016 & 2020
#BTC 50k is the new 12k
It does not matter over the coming years
Max Opportunity
BTCActivation price $63,089.08Direction LongType DirectionalTimeframe Long
Max Favorable +0.8%Max Adverse −0.1%ACTIVE
#BTC
Macro-Risk Ratios are turning bullish as the Macro-Risk exits the Bear Market here in 2026 for the first times since 2012-2016-2020
All of the expansive moves for BTC have taken place in a Macro-Risk Bull Market
The real expansive bull run is very close to starting: https://t.co/n8Wr8Pl2Rp
BTCActivation price $64,820.46Direction LongType DirectionalTimeframe Long
Max Favorable +0.1%Max Adverse −0.2%ACTIVE
So many declaring #ETH and #Crypto dead right as the Macro-Risk is exiting its Bear Market that lasted from 2022 to 2026
The prior times Macro Risk exited a Bear Market was in the middle of 2016 & 2020
Both of those exits were max opportunity for ETH and Crypto
ETHActivation price $1,924.47Direction LongType DirectionalTimeframe Long
Max Favorable +0.3%Max Adverse −6.3%ACTIVE
#BTC is perfectly healthy against the S&P500
When the Macro-Risk was turning in 2016 & 2020 BTC vs S&P500 was down -40% & -33% at those times
Currently as the the same turn is occurring for the first time since 2020 BTC/S&P500 is only down 7% from the prior high that is aligned with the Macro-Risk high which occurred in 2021 as shown by Copper/Gold, PMI, RUSSEL/S&P500, RUSSELL/NASDAQ
BTC got ahead of itself the past few years and outperformed during a period where historically it did not have success in the past as shown below (2014-2016 & 2018-2020 and now 2022-2026)
Now its finally getting the favorable conditions that it experienced in 2016-2017 and 2020-2021 for the first time since then
This favors that BTC is set to have its real bull run over the coming years and is perfectly healthy against the S&P500 despite it not appearing so on the surface - It got far ahead of where it should have been and now has returned back to the appropriate position and arguably even still better positioned than where it was the prior two times as these shifts occurred in 2016 and 2020 as its down much less than those times currently
This also applies to #ETH and the rest of the #Crypto market; the position of BTC Dominance, Altcoin Dominance, ETHBTC are identical to where they were in 2016 & 2020
Stay zoomed out as this will take multiple years to play out (due to the macro risk cycle extending in time) but the most bullish period is ahead and its all positioned appropriately as it was in 2016 & 2020

ETHActivation price $1,567.01Direction LongType DirectionalTimeframe Long
Max Favorable +15.4%Max Adverse −3.5%ACTIVE
#BTC is perfectly healthy against the S&P500
When the Macro-Risk was turning in 2016 & 2020 BTC vs S&P500 was down -40% & -33% at those times
Currently as the the same turn is occurring for the first time since 2020 BTC/S&P500 is only down 7% from the prior high that is aligned with the Macro-Risk high which occurred in 2021 as shown by Copper/Gold, PMI, RUSSEL/S&P500, RUSSELL/NASDAQ
BTC got ahead of itself the past few years and outperformed during a period where historically it did not have success in the past as shown below (2014-2016 & 2018-2020 and now 2022-2026)
Now its finally getting the favorable conditions that it experienced in 2016-2017 and 2020-2021 for the first time since then
This favors that BTC is set to have its real bull run over the coming years and is perfectly healthy against the S&P500 despite it not appearing so on the surface - It got far ahead of where it should have been and now has returned back to the appropriate position and arguably even still better positioned than where it was the prior two times as these shifts occurred in 2016 and 2020 as its down much less than those times currently
This also applies to #ETH and the rest of the #Crypto market; the position of BTC Dominance, Altcoin Dominance, ETHBTC are identical to where they were in 2016 & 2020
Stay zoomed out as this will take multiple years to play out (due to the macro risk cycle extending in time) but the most bullish period is ahead and its all positioned appropriately as it was in 2016 & 2020

BTCActivation price $59,580Direction LongType DirectionalTimeframe Long
Max Favorable +6.5%Max Adverse −3.0%ACTIVE