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Passport #140654 · Jun 25, 2026 · 14:21 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
MA@matthewhyland_
Jun 25, 2026 · 14:21 UTC
#BTC Dominance is in Complacency
When BTC rises over the coming years it will do so alongside Dominance dropping
Completely different dynamics compared to 2018 or 2022 due to Macro Cycle lengthening in time https://t.co/yXbOEq4Trf
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Author states 'When BTC rises over the coming years' as a declarative up call. No price targets are mentioned. The post is primarily about BTC Dominance dynamics, but the directional claim on BTC is clearly upward.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC rises. 'Over the coming years' is outcome-bound but is a multi-year phrase that would map to 730 days via §3.2 — however, the post contains earnest macro language ('Macro Cycle lengthening', 'coming years', 'Dominance dropping') triggering Signal H at base 120, which is the appropriate inferred bucket for a macro bull-market thesis. No sarcasm detected.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $59,329 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 90 |
| Duration used in scoring | 90 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $59,329 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1528.97,
"mfe": 4132.83,
"mqs": 0.65718,
"ocs": 0.72995,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-04 19:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.182047,
"sigma_d": 0.02142356,
"eval_end": "2026-07-05 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.65718,
"max_close": 63439.87,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-25 14:21:08+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 90,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.070549,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.642294,
"activation_price": 59329.16,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 925,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.065069,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 2,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 2,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
} 