← Back to @matthewhyland_Call Audit
Every scored call is fully auditable
Passport #81290 · May 20, 2026 · 19:40 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
MA@matthewhyland_
May 20, 2026 · 19:40 UTC
In 2019 #BTC dropped 53% and stayed at the lows for less than 2 months before rallying (excluding the black swan drop after)
In 2021 BTC dropped 53% and stayed at the lows for 2 months before rallying
In 2026 BTC dropped 53% and spent 2 months at the lows before rallying
If the low is in then BTC spent enough time down there as reflected by the closest two comparisons of similar percentage correction in recent history
Barring a black swan its probably unlikely to even go back down to the low
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Author argues the low is in and BTC is unlikely to revisit it, implying an up call. No explicit price targets stated. 'Probably unlikely' and historical comparisons make this a mild hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC has bottomed and will not revisit the low (directional up). No explicit horizon is bound to the outcome. The historical comparisons ('2 months at the lows') describe past behavior as context, not a forward timeframe for this claim. Bottom-call language ('the low is in') points to Signal B2, base 30; no tiebreaker cues fire to move off base.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $77,632 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.13composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.46 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.03 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.00 |
| Magnitude | 0.46 |
| Max Favorable Move | +0.7% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −23.8% |
| Candles evaluated | 2880 · 1d |
| Eval window | May 20, 2026 · 19:40 UTC → Jun 19, 2026 · 19:40 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $77,632 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 18501.15,
"mfe": 567.94,
"mqs": 0.457239,
"ocs": 0.029783,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-05-21 08:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.033476,
"sigma_d": 0.01653778,
"eval_end": "2026-06-19 19:40:23+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.457239,
"max_close": 78137.12,
"min_close": 59392.25,
"eval_start": "2026-05-20 19:40:23+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.611086,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.130125,
"activation_price": 77632.06,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.011972,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}