@calebfranzen
“@calebfranzen holds a 48.5% all-time accuracy across 394 calls, with a stronger 53.4% YTD, focusing on BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, and LINK with a heavily bullish lean. Their edge lies in Break/Pump setups, their most-used call type, where their short-term calls show the best accuracy of any timeframe they cover.”
Score Breakdown
| CallRank Score | Move · Path · Time | Scored | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALL-TIME | 49% | 0.66 · 0.46 · 0.45 | 400 |
| YTD | 49% | 0.64 · 0.47 · 0.47 | 82 |
| 30D | 48% | 0.57 · 0.51 · 0.50 | 6 |
CallRank Score by Duration
Short term52% 112 calls
Medium term48% 257 calls
Long term45% 31 calls
CallRank Score · Last 12 Months
Asset Breakdown — Top 5
| Asset | CallRank Score | Calls | 🟢 Bull · 🔴 Bear |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 48% | 359 | 255 · 104 |
| ETH | 51% | 14 | 11 · 3 |
| XRP | 49% | 3 | 2 · 1 |
| SOL | 48% | 3 | 2 · 1 |
| LINK | 82% | 2 | 1 · 1 |
Live Calls Summary · By Horizon
@calebfranzen's active forecasts grouped by horizon and asset. L = Long, S = Short, number = open call count.
Active assets for this forecaster:
| No assets selected | |
|---|---|
| ST | — |
| MT | — |
| LT | — |
ST = Short term · MT = Medium term · LT = Long term
Active Calls · 9 Live
CA
𝕏
Both of these statements are true:
1. I think Bitcoin will make new lows.
2. I will make my most aggressive buys below $61k.
Max Favorable +0.4%Max Adverse −0.1%ACTIVE
CA
𝕏
Want to be bullish on Bitcoin?
Just wait for price to break above the weekly Ichimoku cloud.
80% of signals perfectly marked the start of a sustained bull market.
2019 is the only exception.
You don't need to buy the bottom. You just need to own the bull.
Hasn't flashed yet. https://t.co/BohoppGyLy
PENDING TRIGGER
CA
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Here's the thing...
Bitcoin looks quite good here as it tries to reclaim its 55-day EMA (red).
I've been calling for a relief rally for quite some time and it keeps taking much longer than I've expected, with each attempt fading.
I'm targeting the 200-day EMA (green).
But...
When I first shared that relief rally target, it was around $76k.
Today, it's $72k.
By definition, this means that upside today is quite limited.
Currently +12% implied upside.
I don't think any of us are going to get excited by that.
What should get us excited?
The opportunity to retest the 200-day EMA, break above it, and flip it into support for a potential bullish trend reversal.
That's what I'm hoping to see.
But a lot of work needs to happen between now and then.
Embrace nuance.
Max Favorable +0.9%Max Adverse −0.5%ACTIVE
CA
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It's the same setup we've seen over the course of this bear market.
Relief rally breaks above the 21 & 55-day EMAs.
Flip them into support.
Continuation towards the 200-day EMA.
It will work... until it doesn't. https://t.co/1UoHCDrHtG
Max Favorable +0.8%Max Adverse −0.5%ACTIVE
CA
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Relief rally to $74k (200-day MA cloud) & then re-evaluate. https://t.co/oKclouvk0V
Max Favorable +2.1%Max Adverse −0.2%ACTIVE
Scored Calls · Full Audit Trail
CA
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I don't like it...
But I think $MSTR is the best contrarian play in the market right now to exercise a relief rally thesis for Bitcoin, which I think could take price up to mid-$70k's.
What I like (or dislike) doesn't matter.
Making (and keeping) money is all that matters.
Max Favorable +4.3%Max Adverse −3.7%Opportunity 0.46Time 0.58Magnitude 0.46Score 0.46
CA
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Ethereum with a valid "breakdown, retest, rejection" setup.
You know, the opposite of what happens in bull markets.
Maybe I'll be wrong and the market will give me a middle finger, but I think price gets rejected here and makes new lows. https://t.co/qmXOo4YwdK
Max Favorable +12.7%Max Adverse −12.3%Opportunity 0.75Time 0.45Magnitude 0.75Score 0.56
CA
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There's alpha in line charts with daily closes.
This range is resistance after the recent breakdown to new lows.
That doesn't mean that Bitcoin is GUARANTEED to reject.
But if it does, I'm focused on a decline into the green range.
Those will be my next downside purchases. https://t.co/UnvpghO1io
Max Favorable +11.1%Max Adverse −3.5%Opportunity 0.69Time 0.87Magnitude 0.69Score 0.70
CA
𝕏
There's alpha in line charts with daily closes.
This range is resistance after the recent breakdown to new lows.
That doesn't mean that Bitcoin is GUARANTEED to reject.
But if it does, I'm focused on a decline into the red range.
Those will be my next downside purchases. https://t.co/hmY9AxQdEW
Max Favorable +12.9%Max Adverse −1.0%Opportunity 0.75Time 0.97Magnitude 0.75Score 0.79
CA
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It still hasn't happened...
Bitcoin does NOT a bullish RSI divergence (yet).
I pointed this out after both of the prior local bottoms, saying that I'd feel much better about a significant low (or a bear market low) if a bullish RSI divergence formed.
We still don't have one. https://t.co/kuufXnzUil
Max Favorable +7.5%Max Adverse −7.7%Opportunity 0.78Time 0.65Magnitude 0.78Score 0.56