Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #71625 · Feb 28, 2026 · 08:26 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@calebfranzen

Feb 28, 2026 · 08:26 UTC

The last time Bitcoin's weekly RSI was this low was June 2022. It fell an additional -25% over the next 23 weeks. Yes, the RSI is low (and getting oversold). That doesn't mean it can't get worse. On the contrary, it means it likely will get worse. https://t.co/x2tHSogYpl

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	161 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Author predicts BTC 'likely will get worse' = bearish/down call. The -25% over 23 weeks is a historical reference to June 2022, not an explicit forecast target for this call. 'Likely' makes this a mild_hedge.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC declines further. The post explicitly references 'an additional -25% over the next 23 weeks' as the analogous outcome, binding that duration to the predicted move. D = 2026-02-28; 23 weeks = 161 days → explicit_timeframe = 161.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$63,628
Target	—
Duration	161 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	explicit_text
Duration stated (days)	161
Duration used in scoring	161

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$63,628
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 19221.9,
  "mfe": 5827.91,
  "mqs": 0.262022,
  "ocs": 0.232653,
  "tif": 0.4,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.179035,
  "sigma_d": 0.02721408,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-03 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.262022,
  "max_close": 82684.01,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-02-28 08:26:30+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 161,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.303842,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.268428,
  "activation_price": 63628.1,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 11989,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.301451,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 5,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 5,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 5
}