Call Audit

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Passport #120740 · Jun 18, 2026 · 04:37 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@calebfranzen

Jun 18, 2026 · 04:37 UTC

Ethereum with a valid "breakdown, retest, rejection" setup. You know, the opposite of what happens in bull markets. Maybe I'll be wrong and the market will give me a middle finger, but I think price gets rejected here and makes new lows. https://t.co/qmXOo4YwdK

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

ETH

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	ETH
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Direction is down based on 'price gets rejected here and makes new lows.' No specific price targets stated. 'I think' and acknowledgment that he could be wrong indicate mild_hedge.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = ETH gets rejected and makes new lows. No explicit horizon phrase bound to the outcome. No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires; the setup language ('breakdown, retest, rejection') is chart context, not an outcome horizon → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	ETH
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$1,733
Target	—
Duration	30 days · Medium Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$1,733
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 74.92,
  "mfe": 220.73,
  "mqs": 0.754929,
  "ocs": 0.746592,
  "tif": 0.777778,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-06-26 03:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.524935,
  "sigma_d": 0.03214332,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-05 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.754929,
  "max_close": 1804.67,
  "min_close": 1522.68,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-18 04:37:11+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.406208,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.701059,
  "activation_price": 1732.73,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 1636,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.09059,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 18,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 18,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 14,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 18
}