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Passport #136925 · Jun 12, 2026 · 06:35 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
CA@calebfranzen
Jun 12, 2026 · 06:35 UTC
There's alpha in line charts with daily closes.
This range is resistance after the recent breakdown to new lows.
That doesn't mean that Bitcoin is GUARANTEED to reject.
But if it does, I'm focused on a decline into the red range.
Those will be my next downside purchases. https://t.co/hmY9AxQdEW
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | $66,000 |
| Trigger Operator | Hold Above |
AI Reasoning
Conditional: if BTC rejects at the resistance range (no numeric trigger stated, only chart reference), then decline into the red range (no numeric target stated). Single claim. Hedged with 'if it does'.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC declines into the red range after rejecting at resistance. Per §0.5, the trigger is the rejection at resistance; no horizon phrase is attached to the outcome. No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
Gate 1 passed: BTC/USD on 1D timeframe. Gate 2 passed: chart asset matches Stage 3 asset (BTC). Gate 3 passed: a red resistance zone is clearly drawn above current price, consistent with a 'reject at resistance' Category A trigger structure. Gate 4 passed: down claim aligns with rejection from overhead red resistance leading to decline into the green support zone. Current price read from the y-axis badge at 62,823.87. Trigger extracted as the red resistance zone near 66,000 (mid-zone).
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $66,329 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger level | $66,000 |
| Trigger operator | Hold Above |
| Conditional operator | Category A — Hold/Defend/Maintain/Resistance |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Jun 16, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Scoring
0.79composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.75 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.93 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.95 |
| Magnitude | 0.75 |
| Max Favorable Move | +12.9% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −1.0% |
| Candles evaluated | 1751 · 1d |
| Eval window | Jun 16, 2026 · 00:00 UTC → Jul 4, 2026 · 05:30 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeA |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $62,924 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Merge Flags
trigger_from_chart: true
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 663.26,
"mfe": 8528.55,
"mqs": 0.750266,
"ocs": 0.927842,
"tif": 0.95,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.528875,
"sigma_d": 0.02388835,
"eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.750266,
"max_close": 66899.61,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-16 00:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 66328.74,
"trigger_ts": "2026-06-16 00:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.387359,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.789246,
"activation_price": 66328.74,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 1751,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.09268,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 20,
"trigger_candle_index": 3,
"aggregated_candles_count": 20,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 19,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 20
} 