Call Audit

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Passport #136926 · Jun 12, 2026 · 06:40 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@calebfranzen

Jun 12, 2026 · 06:40 UTC

There's alpha in line charts with daily closes. This range is resistance after the recent breakdown to new lows. That doesn't mean that Bitcoin is GUARANTEED to reject. But if it does, I'm focused on a decline into the green range. Those will be my next downside purchases. https://t.co/UnvpghO1io

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	heavy_hedge
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	$65,000
Trigger Operator	Acceptance Below

AI Reasoning

Trigger is rejection at a chart-referenced resistance range with no explicit numeric level stated, so trigger is null. Target is a chart-referenced 'green range' with no numeric values, so targets are null. Direction is down (decline after rejection). Heavily hedged with 'if it does' and 'not guaranteed'.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC declines into the green range after rejecting resistance. No horizon phrase is attached to the outcome (the trigger is 'if it does reject'). No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

Gate 1: BTC/USD on 1D timeframe confirmed from top-left label. Gate 2: Asset matches Stage 3 (BTC). Gate 3: Red zone visible as resistance/rejection trigger structure aligns with post's 'rejection at resistance' language. Gate 4: Down direction is consistent with rejection at red zone leading to decline toward green support. Current price read from y-axis badge at 62,823.87. Trigger extracted from the red rejection zone midpoint at approximately 65,000.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$65,000
Target	—
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger level	$65,000
Trigger operator	Acceptance Below
Conditional operator	Category D — Shorting / Sweep Above / Liquidity Grab (Reversal DOWN)
Trigger hit	Yes
Trigger time	Jun 15, 2026 · 00:00 UTC

Scoring

0.70composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.69
Path Score (OCS)	0.76
Time Score (TIF)	0.87
Magnitude	0.69
Max Favorable Move	+11.1%
Max Unfavorable Move	−3.5%
Candles evaluated	2881 · 1d
Eval window	Jun 15, 2026 · 00:00 UTC → Jul 15, 2026 · 00:00 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B->4B_modeA
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	heavy_hedge
Spot price at post	$62,924
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Merge Flags

trigger_from_chart: true

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 2292.15,
  "mfe": 7199.81,
  "mqs": 0.685675,
  "ocs": 0.758517,
  "tif": 0.870968,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.467635,
  "sigma_d": 0.02388835,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-15 00:00:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.685675,
  "max_close": 67292.14,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-15 00:00:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": 65000,
  "trigger_ts": "2026-06-15 00:00:00+00:00",
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": true,
  "trigger_hit": true,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.157326,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.695699,
  "activation_price": 65000,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 2881,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.095709,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 31,
  "trigger_candle_index": 2,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 31,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 27,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}