2022:
- LUNA erased $40B overnight
- 3AC blew up a $3B fund and bankrupted half the industry
- FTX stole $8B in customer funds
2026:
- DTCC aiming to tokenize $114 trillion
- BlackRock is buying Bitcoin
- SEC & CFTC championing crypto
If you didn't buy during the last bear, I get it.
But not buying the current crash, with developments none of us could have imagined 4 years ago, makes ZERO sense.
BTCActivation price $64,949.65Direction LongType DirectionalTimeframe Mid
Max Favorable +0.1%Max Adverse −0.4%Opportunity 0.07Time 0.00Magnitude 0.07Score 0.05
Bitcoin is running into resistance here from the value area high.
Short-term rejection/consolidation is possible, but it doesn't change my view of seeing BTC nearing the 200D moving average by the end of this month. https://t.co/N9hg04qD2L
BTCActivation price $66,740Direction ShortType DirectionalTimeframe Short
Max Favorable +6.4%Max Adverse −0.3%Opportunity 0.71Time 1.00Magnitude 0.71Score 0.78
Bitcoin in 2018:
1. First capitulation swing low post ATH - February
2. 200D moving average reached, and rejected from - May
3. February low taken out - June
4. Rally into 200D moving average - July
5. Rejection to form the bear market low in Q4.
Bitcoin in 2026:
1. First capitulation swing low post ATH - February
2. 200D moving average reached, and rejected from - May
3. February low taken out - Jun
I think that we will rally into the 200D moving average this month.
Face a rejection, and formulate the low in Q4, just like 2018.
BTCActivation price $64,449.54Direction LongType DirectionalTimeframe Mid
Max Favorable +3.9%Max Adverse −4.1%Opportunity 0.40Time 0.49Magnitude 0.40Score 0.40
STOP OVERCOMPLICATING THINGS.
Bitcoin bear markets last 364 days.
We are on day 278/364.
Use the time left WISELY.
From now until the first week of October, I’m BUYING, BUYING, BUYING. https://t.co/6LtU3xjR2W
BTCActivation price $63,256.15Direction LongType DirectionalTimeframe Long
Max Favorable +1.5%Max Adverse −0.5%Opportunity 0.69Time 1.00Magnitude 0.69Score 0.62
Expecting a retest of the 200D moving average with $BTC (in accordance to 4-year cyclicality).
Following a ~$10,000 move upwards during the summer, I expect a rejection and the final low to be made in Q4. https://t.co/1cDRHOD8xw
BTCActivation price $61,961.64Direction LongType DirectionalTimeframe Long
Max Favorable +2.4%Max Adverse −1.4%Opportunity 0.52Time 1.00Magnitude 0.52Score 0.56