Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #149231 · Jul 10, 2026 · 11:07 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@cryptokid

Jul 10, 2026 · 11:07 UTC

Bitcoin in 2018: 1. First capitulation swing low post ATH - February 2. 200D moving average reached, and rejected from - May 3. February low taken out - June 4. Rally into 200D moving average - July 5. Rejection to form the bear market low in Q4. Bitcoin in 2026: 1. First capitulation swing low post ATH - February 2. 200D moving average reached, and rejected from - May 3. February low taken out - Jun I think that we will rally into the 200D moving average this month. Face a rejection, and formulate the low in Q4, just like 2018.

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	174 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	Hits / Retest

AI Reasoning

Reversal leg is conditional DOWN — rejection at the 200D MA leads to forming the bear market low in Q4. Trigger is the 200D MA but no explicit numeric level is provided, so trigger is null. Final target (Q4 low) is also not numerically specified, so target is null. Mild hedge from 'I think'.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC forms the bear market low. Per §0.5, the trigger is the 200D MA rejection; 'in Q4' is bound to the outcome. D = 2026-07-10, Q4 ends Dec 31, 2026 → 174 days.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$64,450
Target	—
Duration	174 days · Long Term
Trigger level	—
Trigger operator	Hits / Retest
Conditional operator	Category E — Retest and continuation
Trigger hit	No

Scoring

This call is conditional pending — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	explicit_text
Duration stated (days)	174
Duration used in scoring	—

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3C
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$64,450
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mqs": null,
  "ocs": null,
  "tif": null,
  "status": "untriggered_no_level",
  "eval_end": "2026-07-11 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": null,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-10 11:07:28+00:00",
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "trigger_hit": false,
  "review_flags": {},
  "accuracy_score": null,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 74
}