Call Audit

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Passport #161560 · Jul 21, 2026 · 14:24 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

@cryptokid

Jul 21, 2026 · 14:24 UTC

Bitcoin is running into resistance here from the value area high. Short-term rejection/consolidation is possible, but it doesn't change my view of seeing BTC nearing the 200D moving average by the end of this month. https://t.co/N9hg04qD2L

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@cryptokid's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	10 days · Short Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Forecaster expects BTC to near the 200D moving average, which is below current price given resistance context — direction is down. No explicit price number given for the 200D MA in the post, so targets are null. Tone is a personal view without firm 'will' language, so mild_hedge.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC nears the 200D moving average (directional down). 'By the end of this month' is bound to the outcome; D = 2026-07-21, end of July = July 31, 2026; 31 − 21 = 10 days.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$66,740
Target	—
Duration	10 days · Short Term

Scoring

0.78composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.71
Path Score (OCS)	0.95
Time Score (TIF)	1.00
Magnitude	0.71
Max Favorable Move	+6.4%
Max Unfavorable Move	−0.3%
Candles evaluated	960 · 4h
Eval window	Jul 21, 2026 · 14:24 UTC → Jul 31, 2026 · 14:24 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	explicit_text
Duration stated (days)	10
Duration used in scoring	10

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$66,740
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 204.41,
  "mfe": 4274,
  "mqs": 0.710388,
  "ocs": 0.954357,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-31 14:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.468183,
  "sigma_d": 0.01634738,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-31 14:24:42+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.710388,
  "max_close": 66849.77,
  "min_close": 62697.02,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-21 14:24:42+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": true,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 14,
  "mew_days_used": 10,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.239214,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.783232,
  "activation_price": 66740,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 960,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.051678,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 61,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 61,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 61,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 61
}