Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #149230 · Jul 10, 2026 · 11:07 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@cryptokid

Jul 10, 2026 · 11:07 UTC

Bitcoin in 2018: 1. First capitulation swing low post ATH - February 2. 200D moving average reached, and rejected from - May 3. February low taken out - June 4. Rally into 200D moving average - July 5. Rejection to form the bear market low in Q4. Bitcoin in 2026: 1. First capitulation swing low post ATH - February 2. 200D moving average reached, and rejected from - May 3. February low taken out - Jun I think that we will rally into the 200D moving average this month. Face a rejection, and formulate the low in Q4, just like 2018.

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	21 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

First leg is directional UP — rally into the 200D moving average this month. No explicit numeric price for the 200D MA reversal point is stated in the post, so target_lo/target_hi are null. 'I think' conveys mild hedge.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC rallies into the 200D moving average. 'This month' is bound to the outcome; D = 2026-07-10, end of July = July 31, 2026 → 21 days.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$64,450
Target	—
Duration	21 days · Medium Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	explicit_text
Duration stated (days)	21
Duration used in scoring	21

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3C
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$64,450
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 793.54,
  "mfe": 243.29,
  "mqs": 0.278059,
  "ocs": 0.234648,
  "tif": 0,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-10 14:00:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.02065,
  "sigma_d": 0.02317222,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-11 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.278059,
  "max_close": 64542.48,
  "min_close": 63732.25,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-10 11:07:28+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 21,
  "mew_days_used": 21,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.325812,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.133339,
  "activation_price": 64449.54,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 74,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.011586,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "12h",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 3,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 3,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 3
}