Passport #155069 · Jul 15, 2026 · 19:42 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 120 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
The post advises buying BTC during a bear market, which implies a directional up call (accumulate for future upside). No specific price targets stated. The tone is advisory rather than a firm predictive claim, so mild_hedge fits best.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC rises (accumulate during bear market for future upside). No explicit horizon attached to the outcome. 'Buy as much bitcoin as possible' during a bear market is earnest macro accumulation language with an implicit bull market payoff → Signal H base 120.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 2451.2,
"mfe": 66.63,
"mqs": 0.091766,
"ocs": 0.026463,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-15 20:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.002347,
"sigma_d": 0.02130333,
"eval_end": "2026-07-18 05:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.091766,
"max_close": 65009.92,
"min_close": 62568.18,
"eval_start": "2026-07-15 19:42:25+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 120,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.096253,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.030144,
"activation_price": 64988.76,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 231,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010652,
"scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 2,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 2,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}