@wiseanalyze's active forecasts grouped by horizon and asset. L = Long, S = Short, number = open call count.
bitcoin:native is setting up a sharp fakeout - expect a liquidity sweep followed by a violent reversal in the next 1-2 days. ⏳
📊 Trend Breakdown:
• LTF: Uptrend
• Daily: Sideways chop
• HTF: Heavy Downtrend
🎯 Key Scenarios:
• Upside Resistance: 66-68k. A squeeze into the 72k FVG won't fix the macro structure, but it could flipped 65k into support for an eventual HTF trend reversal.
• Downside Magnet: The massive liquidity pool sitting under 60.8k since early July remains untouched. It won't stay unvisited forever—a visit is a matter of when, not if.
🎯 Key Levels
Above: 66000 / 66940 / 67720
Below: 62222 / 61450 / 60600
🌐 Macro Triggers This Week: Watch Flash PMIs (July 24) and the ECB rate decision (July 23). Expect low liquidity and headline-driven volatility until energy markets settle.
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BTCActivation price $66,000Direction ShortType ConditionalTrigger Sweep Above (Reversal Down) 66000Timeframe Short
Max Favorable +4.5%Max Adverse −1.4%Opportunity 0.64Time 0.79Magnitude 0.64Score 0.65
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
Nearest upper LTF target zone 61150 achieved - gave clear rejection and surprise recovery. This PA impossible to predict. I didn't even try 😆
bitcoin:native might continue towards Daily 20EMA around ~62k and dig into resistance up to 63k. If breakout higher, then 65k is possible.
🎯 Key Levels
Above: 61950 / 63300 / 64900
Below: 60450 / 59100 / 58600
High timeframe situation remain the same - bearish month close holds momentum that is capable to push price lower towards 49k–52k. That means that current bounce should be monitored with that idea in mind. Waiting for a clear rejection within one of upper target zones to short it.
⏰ TG alarms set for: D/W/M20sma, 69000, 67255, 62200
Trend: D 🔽 W 🔽 M ▶️
😱 F&G: 19 < 11 < 15 < 12 < 18
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BTCActivation price $61,358.01Direction LongType DirectionalTimeframe Short
Max Favorable +6.9%Max Adverse −0.4%Opportunity 0.54Time 1.00Magnitude 0.54Score 0.73
Quiet weekend, but high volatility is loading for this week. 🧵👇
📅 The Catalyst:
• Mon–Wed: Choppy, low-volume positioning.
• Thursday: US Non-Farm Payrolls + Unemployment data.
• Friday: US Bank Holiday.
Expect Thursday's data to hit thin order books, triggering violent price action.
🎯 Key Levels
Above: 61200 / 62050 / 62600
Below: 58800 / 58030 / 57400
⚡ Liquidity Targets:
• Upside: If we get a manipulation pump, ~62k is the primary magnet over 612k due to deeper liquidity pools.
• Downside: Last week’s 58.9k target was cleanly hit. ✅ Next major draw areas are 57.4k, 54.8k, and 52.5k.
⏰ Free TG alarms set for: D/W/M20sma, 69000, 67255, 62200
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BTCActivation price $62,600Direction ShortType ConditionalTrigger Sweep Above (Reversal Down) 62600Timeframe Mid
Max Favorable +2.1%Max Adverse −7.0%Opportunity 0.38Time 0.10Magnitude 0.38Score 0.20
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
bitcoin:native continues consolidation within downtrend. Nearest upper liquidity starts above 64k. That zone worth monitoring for any signs of rejection. If market takes a surprise move and breakout, next liquidation zone will be above 67.6k (resistance around 66666 will defend that zone).
On the downside LP under ~60.3k still untouched. Yesterday's volume concentrated around 61.7-61.9k and will act as SR.
🎯 Key Levels
Above: 63817 / 64250 / 66666
Below: 60270 / 59060 / 57444
As I wrote, Fear and Greed dropped very low and in general chart looks prone for a dead cat bounce. While rejection from ~64.5k is possible, I'd bet on breakout as it will spill more blood. But I am not sure it will manage to grow much above devil's 66666 😈
⏰ TG alarms set for: D/W/M20sma, dev Y VWAP VAH, 82828, 78180, 76800, 64918, 59800 and wedge trendline
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BTCActivation price $64,458.01Direction LongType ConditionalTrigger Break Above 64000Timeframe Mid
Max Favorable +4.4%Max Adverse −10.3%Opportunity 0.80Time 0.25Magnitude 0.80Score 0.38
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
This week really overperformed my most bearish expectations. Yes, I forecasted "elevator down" when bitcoin:native was at 81k, but I couldn't imagine it to lose 24% in just 20 days (where 17% lost just within these 4 days). As far as I remember what others wrote here and in Twitter, no one expected it.
Good news are that such strong dumps always pay off with a strong dead cat bounce. Most probably will cover the gap in between 67.5k and 70.5k - the only question is WHEN.
🎯 Key Levels
Above: 64920 / 67500 / 69000
Below: 60800 / 59800 / 58942
February 6th low at 59800 is the nearest big LP. Next is August close at 58942. I don't know what to expect beyond that.
⏰ Free TG alarms set for: D/W/M20sma, dev Y VWAP VAH, 82828, 78180, 76800, 64918, 59800 and wedge trendline
TradingView - https://t.co/rOraixzanx
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BTCActivation price $62,530Direction LongType DirectionalTimeframe Mid
Max Favorable +7.6%Max Adverse −7.6%Opportunity 0.71Time 0.55Magnitude 0.71Score 0.52