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Passport #161130 · Jul 20, 2026 · 11:50 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
bitcoin:native is setting up a sharp fakeout - expect a liquidity sweep followed by a violent reversal in the next 1-2 days. ⏳
📊 Trend Breakdown:
• LTF: Uptrend
• Daily: Sideways chop
• HTF: Heavy Downtrend
🎯 Key Scenarios:
• Upside Resistance: 66-68k. A squeeze into the 72k FVG won't fix the macro structure, but it could flipped 65k into support for an eventual HTF trend reversal.
• Downside Magnet: The massive liquidity pool sitting under 60.8k since early July remains untouched. It won't stay unvisited forever—a visit is a matter of when, not if.
🎯 Key Levels
Above: 66000 / 66940 / 67720
Below: 62222 / 61450 / 60600
🌐 Macro Triggers This Week: Watch Flash PMIs (July 24) and the ECB rate decision (July 23). Expect low liquidity and headline-driven volatility until energy markets settle.
TradingView - https://t.co/rOraixzId5
#BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #Trading #CryptoTrading #CryptoMarket #LiquidityPools #PriceAction #MarketStructure #RiskManagement
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | — |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | $66,000 |
| Trigger Operator | Sweep Above (Reversal Down) |
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
A single red downward arrow projects from the current price area toward the ~61,550 alarm level, staying entirely below current price. This is a Tier 1 one-sided directional path pointing down. The 'No raid - no trade' text and alarm at 61550 supports a bearish outlook.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $66,000 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger level | $66,000 |
| Trigger operator | Sweep Above (Reversal Down) |
| Conditional operator | Category D — Shorting / Sweep Above / Liquidity Grab (Reversal DOWN) |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Jul 21, 2026 · 08:00 UTC |
Scoring
0.65composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.64 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.75 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.79 |
| Magnitude | 0.64 |
| Max Favorable Move | +4.5% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −1.4% |
| Candles evaluated | 673 · 4h |
| Eval window | Jul 21, 2026 · 08:00 UTC → Jul 28, 2026 · 08:00 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 7 |
| Duration used in scoring | 7 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 4D |
| Merge source | chart_only |
| Direction source | chart |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | — |
| Spot price at post | $65,002 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
gate_1_complex_path: path=4D
Merge Flags
orphan_chart: true
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 956.15,
"mfe": 2940.61,
"mqs": 0.644791,
"ocs": 0.754629,
"tif": 0.790698,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-28 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.398799,
"sigma_d": 0.01660691,
"eval_end": "2026-07-28 08:00:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.644791,
"max_close": 66944.4,
"min_close": 63130,
"eval_start": "2026-07-21 08:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 66000,
"trigger_ts": "2026-07-21 08:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 7,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.035048,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.647229,
"activation_price": 66000,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 673,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.043046,
"scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": 5,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 34,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}