Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #163558 · Jul 23, 2026 · 12:34 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

@wiseanalyze

Jul 23, 2026 · 12:34 UTC

Bitcoin Cycles Chart indicates that bottom will be within November-December this year. Potential target zone 44-48k Will history repeat this time? https://t.co/X97wVHK00M

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@wiseanalyze's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	161 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Forecaster predicts a cycle bottom in Nov-Dec with target zone 44-48k, implying a down move. 'Potential target zone' and rhetorical 'Will history repeat' indicate mild hedge rather than declarative.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC drops to 44-48k cycle bottom. 'Within November-December this year' bounds the outcome; D = 2026-07-23, end of December 2026 = Dec 31 2026, which is 161 days out. Using the far end of the stated window (December) per §3.1 'MonthA/MonthB' → midpoint of Nov 30 and Dec 31 = Dec 15 2026 = 145 days, but since 'within November-December' means the bottom occurs by end of December, Dec 31 is the binding horizon → 161 days.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$65,116
Target	$44,000 – $48,000
Duration	161 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	explicit_text
Duration stated (days)	161
Duration used in scoring	161

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$65,116
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 306.04,
  "mfe": 465.99,
  "mqs": 0.495423,
  "ocs": 0.60359,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-23 18:00:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.01414,
  "sigma_d": 0.0209238,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-23 19:15:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.495423,
  "max_close": 65167.04,
  "min_close": 64681.27,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-23 12:34:16+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 161,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.684035,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.528288,
  "activation_price": 65115.99,
  "dir_target_score": 0.025398,
  "candles_evaluated": 27,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.010462,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}