@decodejar
“@decodejar sits at 47.3% accuracy across 237 calls, focusing heavily on BTC and emerging alts like TAO and SUI with a strong bullish lean (82% long calls). Their clearest edge is in short-term calls, where they hit 58.2% accuracy, particularly through Break/Pump and Wick/Liquidity grab setups that target momentum and market structure plays.”
Score Breakdown
| CallRank Score | Move · Path · Time | Scored | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALL-TIME | 47% | 0.61 · 0.45 · 0.44 | 245 |
| YTD | 46% | 0.57 · 0.45 · 0.43 | 66 |
| 30D | 50% | 0.60 · 0.52 · 0.56 | 8 |
CallRank Score by Duration
Short term58% 22 calls
Medium term45% 128 calls
Long term48% 95 calls
CallRank Score · Last 12 Months
Asset Breakdown — Top 5
| Asset | CallRank Score | Calls | 🟢 Bull · 🔴 Bear |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 50% | 190 | 149 · 41 |
| TAO | 43% | 24 | 23 · 1 |
| ETH | 38% | 12 | 9 · 3 |
| SUI | 52% | 8 | 8 · 0 |
| ME | 35% | 4 | 4 · 0 |
Live Calls Summary · By Horizon
@decodejar's active forecasts grouped by horizon and asset. L = Long, S = Short, number = open call count.
Active assets for this forecaster:
| No assets selected | |
|---|---|
| ST | — |
| MT | — |
| LT | — |
ST = Short term · MT = Medium term · LT = Long term
Active Calls · 31 Live
DE
𝕏
Still max bullish on TAO. Continues to hold above its Feb lows and show relative strength in the market, while many other altcoins are significantly lower. The force is strong with Bittensor. https://t.co/lmZLYIURiB
Max Favorable +1.9%Max Adverse −0.4%ACTIVE
DE
𝕏
Metals breaking out, stocks breaking out. This combination has not been kind to crypto so far, so we're either heading into some kind of epic blow off top, or the bottom on Bitcoin is still not in.
But, I've been hearing wave 5 and blow off top a lot over the years, in the past I may even have been party to these suggestions, but it never plays out. So either this time is actually different, or people are getting ahead of themselves, again.
To be fair, including to my own calls, whilst I was looking for lower prices from Nov last year, in Feb I thought a mid-cycle reversal 'could' play out due to the macro setup.
It didn't, egg on my face, but that was six months ago, and I've been favouring the downward trend since, looking strictly for a confirmation of reversal before I call it.
I've still got one eye on the macro though, and I see it still lining up. I see the ISM rising further and I see the breakout on Copper/Gold. If history has a say, then it's the right backdrop.
However, what I don't see is Bitcoin reacting to this setup. Copper/Gold and the ISM broke out six months ago and Bitcoin still has not responded. So it makes sense to focus on price.
The downtrend is still intact, and Bitcoin needs to clear 66.7k 'at least' before any meaningful reversal can occur. Nice potential inverted head and shoulders or maybe cup and handle, but nothing confirmed yet.
Ten months down from the highs, we are almost certainly close, but I'm not putting a date on it and it could run longer than feels comfortable. Bitcoin needs to prove the bottom is in, and that level for me today is 74k, otherwise I still favour the trend.
If Bitcoin continues to do nothing for another couple of months, and macro continues to look good, the setup on the other side will most likely be a full macro wave 3.
The only thing to do is DCA and wait.
PENDING TRIGGER
DE
𝕏
Metals breaking out, stocks breaking out. This combination has not been kind to crypto so far, so we're either heading into some kind of epic blow off top, or the bottom on Bitcoin is still not in.
But, I've been hearing wave 5 and blow off top a lot over the years, in the past I may even have been party to these suggestions, but it never plays out. So either this time is actually different, or people are getting ahead of themselves, again.
To be fair, including to my own calls, whilst I was looking for lower prices from Nov last year, in Feb I thought a mid-cycle reversal 'could' play out due to the macro setup.
It didn't, egg on my face, but that was six months ago, and I've been favouring the downward trend since, looking strictly for a confirmation of reversal before I call it.
I've still got one eye on the macro though, and I see it still lining up. I see the ISM rising further and I see the breakout on Copper/Gold. If history has a say, then it's the right backdrop.
However, what I don't see is Bitcoin reacting to this setup. Copper/Gold and the ISM broke out six months ago and Bitcoin still has not responded. So it makes sense to focus on price.
The downtrend is still intact, and Bitcoin needs to clear 66.7k 'at least' before any meaningful reversal can occur. Nice potential inverted head and shoulders or maybe cup and handle, but nothing confirmed yet.
Ten months down from the highs, we are almost certainly close, but I'm not putting a date on it and it could run longer than feels comfortable. Bitcoin needs to prove the bottom is in, and that level for me today is 74k, otherwise I still favour the trend.
If Bitcoin continues to do nothing for another couple of months, and macro continues to look good, the setup on the other side will most likely be a full macro wave 3.
The only thing to do is DCA and wait.
PENDING TRIGGER
DE
𝕏
Metals breaking out, stocks breaking out. This combination has not been kind to crypto so far, so we're either heading into some kind of epic blow off top, or the bottom on Bitcoin is still not in.
But, I've been hearing wave 5 and blow off top a lot over the years, in the past I may even have been party to these suggestions, but it never plays out. So either this time is actually different, or people are getting ahead of themselves, again.
To be fair, including to my own calls, whilst I was looking for lower prices from Nov last year, in Feb I thought a mid-cycle reversal 'could' play out due to the macro setup.
It didn't, egg on my face, but that was six months ago, and I've been favouring the downward trend since, looking strictly for a confirmation of reversal before I call it.
I've still got one eye on the macro though, and I see it still lining up. I see the ISM rising further and I see the breakout on Copper/Gold. If history has a say, then it's the right backdrop.
However, what I don't see is Bitcoin reacting to this setup. Copper/Gold and the ISM broke out six months ago and Bitcoin still has not responded. So it makes sense to focus on price.
The downtrend is still intact, and Bitcoin needs to clear 66.7k 'at least' before any meaningful reversal can occur. Nice potential inverted head and shoulders or maybe cup and handle, but nothing confirmed yet.
Ten months down from the highs, we are almost certainly close, but I'm not putting a date on it and it could run longer than feels comfortable. Bitcoin needs to prove the bottom is in, and that level for me today is 74k, otherwise I still favour the trend and another leg down towards 50k.
If Bitcoin continues to do nothing for another couple of months, and macro continues to look good, the setup on the other side will be a full macro wave 3, not any sort of mid-cycle or late mid-cycle final rally.
The only thing to do is DCA and wait.
PENDING TRIGGER
DE
𝕏
Metals breaking out, stocks breaking out. This combination has not been kind to crypto so far, so we're either heading into some kind of epic blow off top, or the bottom on Bitcoin is still not in.
But, I've been hearing wave 5 and blow off top a lot over the years, in the past I may even have been party to these suggestions, but it never plays out. So either this time is actually different, or people are getting ahead of themselves, again.
To be fair, including to my own calls, whilst I was looking for lower prices from Nov last year, in Feb I thought a mid-cycle reversal 'could' play out due to the macro setup.
It didn't, egg on my face, but that was six months ago, and I've been favouring the downward trend since, looking strictly for a confirmation of reversal before I call it.
I've still got one eye on the macro though, and I see it still lining up. I see the ISM rising further and I see the breakout on Copper/Gold. If history has a say, then it's the right backdrop.
However, what I don't see is Bitcoin reacting to this setup. Copper/Gold and the ISM broke out six months ago and Bitcoin still has not responded. So it makes sense to focus on price.
The downtrend is still intact, and Bitcoin needs to clear 66.7k 'at least' before any meaningful reversal can occur. Nice potential inverted head and shoulders or maybe cup and handle, but nothing confirmed yet.
Ten months down from the highs, we are almost certainly close, but I'm not putting a date on it and it could run longer than feels comfortable. Bitcoin needs to prove the bottom is in, and that level for me today is 74k, otherwise I still favour the trend and another leg down towards 50k.
If Bitcoin continues to do nothing for another couple of months, and macro continues to look good, the setup on the other side will be a full macro wave 3, not any sort of mid-cycle or late mid-cycle final rally.
The only thing to do is DCA and wait.
PENDING TRIGGER
Scored Calls · Full Audit Trail
DE
𝕏
Nine months later and 2022 comparisons are everywhere; it's the closest and most recent example, but there are two things worth considering.
Not everyone is buying Bitcoin. In June 2022, Bitcoin closed below the weekly 200 sma, but at the same time many Altcoins bottomed. Ethereum, Cardano, Litecoin, Binance Smart Chain and others made their macro cycle low three months before Bitcoin, a buying opportunity for investors who were interested in these networks.
The final 2022 low set by Bitcoin was due to the collapse of FTX in November and the contagion that spread to BTC-heavy lenders like BlockFi and Genesis. Bitcoin was hit uniquely hard during this event because it was the primary asset sold off in an attempt to prevent insolvency. It was also the only time in Bitcoin's history we have seen it fall significantly below its 200 week sma.
Bitcoin at 60k, with dips into the 50s, continues to look like strong support, and I think that in time this area will prove to be the bottom, and look obvious with hindsight.
Max Favorable +10.8%Max Adverse −4.4%Opportunity 0.57Time 0.90Magnitude 0.57Score 0.66
DE
𝕏
Bitcoin below the 200 week sma, would be cool if it closes above. Classic bear market signs everywhere. Sentiment in the gutter. Scrolling Crypto Twitter is doom scrolling by default. Strategy's Stretch STRC under pressure. Non-stop FUD. Dip from 59k to 58k three weeks later looks similar to the marginal lower low two weeks after the 2022 final capitulation. Other technical similarities, weekly RSI bullish divergence, etc, and yet for some reason still unconvincing. 50-60 range looks like bottoming area. We're already in it. Current 58k low could be durable with recovery of 200 week sma. Plan is to buy some crypto then get off this app until the weekly close, touch grass, and relax.
Max Favorable +11.6%Max Adverse −3.6%Opportunity 0.58Time 0.94Magnitude 0.58Score 0.69
DE
𝕏
First Anthropic with Fable and now OpenAI too. It won't stop here. Decentralised AI has never been more important. Buy Bittensor $TAO https://t.co/df5IYIHDr8
Max Favorable +2.5%Max Adverse −12.7%Opportunity 0.16Time 0.16Magnitude 0.16Score 0.15
DE
𝕏
Bitcoin wave 2 double three formation (WXY) with two tailend options. Possible bottom via blue path is less likely and needs to prove itself. Most likely outcome is least one more low, or grind into the low 50s via pink path to complete wave Y. Ideal 1:1 extension target 52.3k. https://t.co/mviG57dbSe
Max Favorable +9.9%Max Adverse −4.4%Opportunity 0.74Time 0.74Magnitude 0.74Score 0.65
DE
𝕏
Bitcoin wave 2 double three formation (WXY) with two tailend options. Possible bottom via blue path is less likely and needs to prove itself. Most likely outcome is least one more low, or grind into the low 50s via pink path to complete wave Y. Ideal 1:1 extension target 52.3k https://t.co/C7SLU4uig3
Max Favorable +9.9%Max Adverse −4.4%Opportunity 0.74Time 0.74Magnitude 0.74Score 0.65