Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #142429 · Jun 29, 2026 · 22:20 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@decodejar

Jun 29, 2026 · 22:20 UTC

Nine months later and 2022 comparisons are everywhere; it's the closest and most recent example, but there are two things worth considering. Not everyone is buying Bitcoin. In June 2022, Bitcoin closed below the weekly 200 sma, but at the same time many Altcoins bottomed. Ethereum, Cardano, Litecoin, Binance Smart Chain and others made their macro cycle low three months before Bitcoin, a buying opportunity for investors who were interested in these networks. The final 2022 low set by Bitcoin was due to the collapse of FTX in November and the contagion that spread to BTC-heavy lenders like BlockFi and Genesis. Bitcoin was hit uniquely hard during this event because it was the primary asset sold off in an attempt to prevent insolvency. It was also the only time in Bitcoin's history we have seen it fall significantly below its 200 week sma. Bitcoin at 60k, with dips into the 50s, continues to look like strong support, and I think that in time this area will prove to be the bottom, and look obvious with hindsight.

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Forecaster states 60k with dips into 50s will prove to be the bottom, implying an up call from current support. No upside price target is given. 50k/60k are support/bottom references, not destination targets. 'I think...in time' = mild hedge.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC bottom is in at 60k/50s range and price recovers upward. 'In time' is vague forward language with no explicit horizon bound to the outcome. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires clearly enough to override; the bottom-call framing (Signal B2) is present but paired with 'in time' and 'with hindsight' suggesting a longer-horizon thesis — however no macro/cycle language elevates to 60. DEFAULT 30 applied.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$60,445
Target	—
Duration	30 days · Medium Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$60,445
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 2644.82,
  "mfe": 3016.98,
  "mqs": 0.560442,
  "ocs": 0.532866,
  "tif": 0.571429,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-04 19:45:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.224584,
  "sigma_d": 0.02745293,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-05 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.560442,
  "max_close": 63439.87,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-29 22:20:01+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.821986,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.47233,
  "activation_price": 60445.01,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 509,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.060722,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 7,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 7,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 4,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 7
}