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Passport #175472 · Aug 4, 2026 · 11:13 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

@decodejar

Aug 4, 2026 · 11:13 UTC

10 months down, and sentiment feels a lot like it should. Bitmex and Bitmart shutdown. Strategy selling 1,638 BTC with an average price at the 200 week sma. Crypto folk clinging to the CLARITY Act narrative for redemption. And then there's CLOWNCARD, the biggest direct loss for hardworking Bitcoiners ever; scammed by their own community's products. You couldn't ask for too much more before the bottom is in on Bitcoin.

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@decodejar's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

The forecaster suggests the bottom is nearly in on BTC, implying an up call from here. No explicit price targets provided. '200 week sma' and '1,638 BTC' are context/reference to Strategy's selling, not targets. Language is hedged ('couldn't ask for too much more before the bottom is in').

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC has bottomed and will move up. 'Bottom is in' is a bottom call (Signal B2), base 30. No urgency cues (↓14) and no macro/cycle framing (↑60) present — stay at base 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$63,746
Target	—
Duration	30 days · Medium Term

Scoring

0.64composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.68
Path Score (OCS)	0.83
Time Score (TIF)	1.00
Magnitude	0.68
Max Favorable Move	+1.0%
Max Unfavorable Move	−0.2%
Candles evaluated	34 · 1d
Eval window	Aug 4, 2026 · 11:13 UTC → Aug 4, 2026 · 19:30 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$63,746
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 130.62,
  "mfe": 654,
  "mqs": 0.682234,
  "ocs": 0.833524,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-08-04 18:30:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.046929,
  "sigma_d": 0.01624973,
  "eval_end": "2026-08-04 19:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.682234,
  "max_close": 64364.18,
  "min_close": 63683.94,
  "eval_start": "2026-08-04 11:13:16+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.146441,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.640672,
  "activation_price": 63746,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 34,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.008949,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}