$BTC - Weekly Outlook.
I believe the potential SMR developing here could be the catalyst for a move toward +$80K.
See you at the target.🎯 https://t.co/v1VeqT4JkF
BTCActivation price $64,836Direction LongType DirectionalTimeframe Long
Max Favorable +0.9%Max Adverse −1.0%ACTIVE
$BTC
𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿-𝘁𝗶𝗺𝗲𝗳𝗿𝗮𝗺𝗲 𝘀𝘁𝗿𝘂𝗰𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗲 𝗿𝗲𝗺𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗮𝗸.
Still, I believe the most unexpected path for 2026 may also be the most logical: a convincing bullish rally above the weekly moving averages, strong enough to rebuild optimism and make the broader weakness appear resolved.
𝗠𝘆 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝘀𝗶𝘀: 𝗮 𝗳𝗮𝗶𝗹𝗲𝗱 𝗯𝘂𝗹𝗹𝗶𝘀𝗵 𝗯𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗸𝗼𝘂𝘁.
A temporary reclaim of the weekly MAs, followed by rejection and acceptance back below them, then the capitulation phase.
Only after that would I begin looking for a genuine higher-timeframe reversal in 2027.
𝗕𝗼𝗼𝗸𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗸 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀.
We’ll revisit the roadmap as we enter 2027.
BTCActivation price $64,932.6Direction LongType DirectionalTimeframe Long
Max Favorable +0.2%Max Adverse −1.6%ACTIVE
$BTC
𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗲𝗿-𝘁𝗶𝗺𝗲𝗳𝗿𝗮𝗺𝗲 𝘀𝘁𝗿𝘂𝗰𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗲 𝗿𝗲𝗺𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘀 𝘄𝗲𝗮𝗸.
Still, I believe the most unexpected path for 2026 may also be the most logical: a convincing bullish rally above the weekly moving averages, strong enough to rebuild optimism and make the broader weakness appear resolved.
𝗠𝘆 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝘀𝗶𝘀: 𝗮 𝗳𝗮𝗶𝗹𝗲𝗱 𝗯𝘂𝗹𝗹𝗶𝘀𝗵 𝗯𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗸𝗼𝘂𝘁.
A temporary reclaim of the weekly MAs, followed by rejection and acceptance back below them—then the capitulation phase.
Only after that would I begin looking for a genuine higher-timeframe reversal in 2027.
𝗕𝗼𝗼𝗸𝗺𝗮𝗿𝗸 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀.
We’ll revisit the roadmap as we enter 2027.
BTCActivation price $64,932.6Direction LongType DirectionalTimeframe Long
Max Favorable +0.2%Max Adverse −1.6%ACTIVE
$BTC
For the remainder of 2026, I believe a price path like this is a realistic possibility.
The key requirement is a confirmed CISD, followed by bullish continuation.
At first, many participants may conclude that "the bottom is in." However, in this scenario, the upside serves a different purpose: harvesting liquidity, completing the macro discount-to-premium cycle, and setting the stage for the real capitulation after a premium sweep.
I've tried to make the roadmap as clear as possible. Every major move on the chart is explained and supported by its underlying reasoning.
I know this isn't the type of price action CT is expecting, which is exactly why I find it interesting.
That said, the higher-timeframe structure still looks weak. A bullish continuation is less likely than a bearish resolution, but if the required conditions are met, it remains a valid possibility. Market makers rarely reward the consensus.
Under this scenario, ETH and altcoins could continue to outperform BTC, giving room for a meaningful mini bullszn before the macro trend resumes.
My long-term view remains unchanged: I still believe $BTC has a high probability of trading below $50K before the end of 2026.

BTCActivation price $66,009.25Direction ShortType DirectionalTimeframe Long
Max Favorable +0.7%Max Adverse −0.6%ACTIVE
$BTC
I still don't think we've seen the final capitulation.
A 41% correction isn't enough to convince me that this cycle has found its ultimate bottom.
- to be continued.. https://t.co/iKOa67JXuC
BTCActivation price $65,286.02Direction ShortType DirectionalTimeframe Long
Max Favorable +0.3%Max Adverse −2.6%ACTIVE