Passport #178177 · Aug 6, 2026 · 22:02 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 60 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Author explicitly predicts BTC will bottom around $34K, indicating a downward move. 'Will put in' is a declarative statement with no hedging. Single target of 34000.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC declines to cycle bottom around $34K. No explicit horizon phrase bound to the outcome. 'Cycle bottom' is macro/cycle framing (Signal B2 with macro cue → ↑ to 60), and the 'save this, we'll come back to it' language reinforces a multi-week to multi-month thesis; Signal B2 base 30 ↑ to 60 for macro/cycle framing.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 955.38,
"mfe": 269.61,
"mqs": 0.324706,
"ocs": 0.220092,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-07 05:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.013543,
"sigma_d": 0.01979943,
"eval_end": "2026-08-07 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 64861,
"magnitude": 0.324706,
"max_close": 65308.35,
"min_close": 64178,
"eval_start": "2026-08-06 22:02:47+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-07 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 60,
"mew_days_used": 60,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.392607,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.139585,
"activation_price": 64435.61,
"dir_target_score": 0.008464,
"candles_evaluated": 86,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010657,
"scoring_candle_tf": "3d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}