@cryptopatel

BULLISH CPI DATA IS OUT: BIGGEST INFLATION DROP SINCE 2020! Massive green candles today. Let me break down what happened and what it means for $BTC in the next 6-12 months 👇 TODAY'S NUMBERS (June CPI): ✅ Headline CPI: 3.5% vs 3.8% expected (was 4.2% in May!) ✅ Monthly CPI: -0.4%, biggest monthly DECLINE since May 2020 ✅ Core CPI: 2.6% vs 2.8% expected ✅ Core Monthly: 0.0%, completely FLAT Inflation didn't just cool. It CRASHED. IMMEDIATE MARKET REACTION: ✅ BTC pumped from ~$62K → $64,150+ ✅ July rate hike odds COLLAPSED: ~50% → ~16% ✅ Stock futures green, yields down, dollar weaker Just yesterday markets were pricing a possible Fed HIKE at the July 28-29 meeting. That fear is now almost dead. This is why we pumped. 🚀 WHAT IT MEANS FOR NEXT 6-12 MONTHS: 1️⃣ Fed pause = liquidity relief. Rates sitting at 3.50%-3.75%. If inflation keeps falling, hike risk disappears and CUT talk returns, historically the most bullish macro setup for BTC. 2️⃣ Falling inflation + no hikes = risk-on. Money rotates back into the risk curve. BTC and majors benefit first, alts follow later. 3️⃣ Key levels: BTC reclaiming and HOLDING $64K flips structure bullish → next resistance $66K → $68.7K. Lose $61.7K and $60K is the support to defend. BUT STAY SHARP — ONE BIG WARNING: This CPI measured JUNE, when gas prices dropped ~10%. Right now the Hormuz blockade is BACK and oil is above $85. That means July CPI (August print) could bounce back UP. Don't assume inflation is defeated after one report. Core is cooling, but energy is a live risk. BIG DATA STILL PENDING (mark your calendar): ➡️ FOMC Meeting — July 28-29 → Fed's rate decision. Pause = bullish confirmation. ➡️ Fed Chair Warsh Testimony — today + tomorrow → his tone can move markets more than the data. ➡️ July CPI — mid-August → THE most important one. It captures the oil spike. Hot print = hike fears return. ➡️ PCE Inflation (monthly) → Fed's preferred gauge, always watched. ➡️ Jobs Report (NFP, monthly) → weak labor market = faster Fed easing = bullish BTC. CryptoPatel Note: Today's data is the friendliest macro print of the year. Short-term bias: bullish while above $61.7K. Medium-term: the real battle is August CPI + oil prices. If inflation keeps trending down over the next 2-3 prints, the 6-12 month setup for BTC turns VERY strong. Patience + levels + risk management. 💪

$XRP has rallied into a high-confluence HTF resistance after confirming a bearish market structure shift. Confluence: ▶️ Bearish Order Block (OB) ▶️ Fair Value Gap (FVG) ▶️ Breakdown retest As long as HTF holds below $1.12, the bearish setup remains intact. Targets: → $1.058 → $1.013 → $0.950 → $0.900 The highest-probability trades come from retests of broken structure, not from chasing breakouts.

Everyone Is Chasing $MON At The Wrong Price. The Real Entry Could Deliver 2,900%+ Upside #MON Is Forming A HTF Bearish Flag After A -76% Impulse From Listing Highs, Signaling Potential 76% Downside If Channel Support Breaks. However, From A Long-Term Perspective, The Projected Breakdown Zone Aligns With A Generational Accumulation Range For Gradual Positioning. Technical Structure ✅ Listing High Rejection: -77% Macro Correction Into Current Range (~$0.022) ✅ HTF Bearish Flag Forming Inside Ascending Channel (2D Timeframe) ✅ Bearish Order Block + FVG Confluence: $0.032–$0.037 (Untested Supply) ✅ 3x Clean Rejections From Channel Resistance Confirm Distribution ✅ Key Decision Level: $0.01850 (Channel Support Trendline) ✅ Flag Breakdown Measured Move: -76% Projection Into HTF Demand ✅ High-Risk Accumulation Zone: $0.0050–$0.0042 ✅ Major S/R Flip: $0.037 (Bullish Above / Bearish Below) ✅ Resistance Stack: $0.032 → $0.037 → $0.047 → $0.129 ✅ Risk Invalidation: Sustained HTF Acceptance Below $0.004 ➡️ Nov 2025: Mainnet Launch + Listing High ➡️ 2025–2026: -76% Corrective Phase Into Flag Consolidation ➡️ Current Price: ~$0.022 (Mid-Range - No-Trade Zone For Investors) ➡️ 24 Nov 2026: First Major Unlock (~16.8B MON) - Investor/Team Cliff Ends, Supply Pressure Begins ➡️ Current Phase: Post-Distribution → Pre-Capitulation Scenario 1 → Short-Term Scalp (Above $0.01850) Price Holding Channel Support Opens A Move Into $0.032–$0.037 Supply. Bearish OB + FVG Stack = Prime Rejection Zone. Scalp Potential: +40% To +100% From Current Levels. Scenario 2 → Flag Breakdown (Below $0.01850) HTF Close Below Channel Support Activates The -76% Measured Move Toward $0.0050–$0.0042, The Maximum Reward, Minimum Risk Entry For Long-Term Positioning. Structure Shift Requirements 1️⃣ HTF Close Above $0.037 (OB + FVG Reclaim) 2️⃣ Break Of Flag Structure (LH → HH Transition) 3️⃣ Acceptance Above $0.047 For Expansion Confirmation Bull Cycle Targets (From Accumulation Zone): $0.047 → $0.10 → $0.13 → $0.20 Invalidation: HTF Close Below $0.004 Demand The $0.0050–$0.0042 Region Represents A High-Risk Accumulation Zone For MON/USDT. Bearish Flag Structure Remains Intact Until HTF Reclaim Confirms Trend Reversal. Most Important Level To Watch: $0.01850. TA Only. Not Financial Advice. ALWAYS DYOR. @monad