← Back to @cryptopatelCall Audit
Every scored call is fully auditable
Passport #138438 · Jun 23, 2026 · 13:30 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
CR@cryptopatel
Jun 23, 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Bitcoin Head & Shoulders Breakdown Alert?
#BTC is forming a classic Head & Shoulders pattern on the 3H chart.
🔹 Left Shoulder: Formed
🔹 Head: Completed
🔹 Right Shoulder: Completed
🔹 Neckline Support: ~$63K
🔹 Target Below Neckline: ~$57,667
A confirmed breakdown below the neckline could trigger an additional ~8.6% decline, targeting the $57.6K region.
Bulls need to defend this level aggressively. Otherwise, volatility may accelerate to the downside.
Will #Bitcoin hold support, or is a deeper correction ahead?
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | $63,000 |
| Trigger Operator | Break Below |
AI Reasoning
Trigger is the ~$63K neckline that must break for the bearish forecast to activate. Target after breakdown is $57,667. 'Could trigger' indicates heavy hedging. Single conditional claim.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC drops to ~$57,667 after neckline breakdown. Per §0.5, no temporal phrase is attached to the outcome — the post contains no horizon language beyond the chart pattern setup. No §4 signal (bounce, urgency, macro) fires for this conditional downside leg → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $62,488 |
| Target | $57,667 – $57,667 |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger level | $63,000 |
| Trigger operator | Break Below |
| Conditional operator | Category B — Break/Dump/Lose/Close Below |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Jun 23, 2026 · 16:00 UTC |
Scoring
0.81composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.92 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.85 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.88 |
| Magnitude | 0.92 |
| Max Favorable Move | +7.0% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −1.2% |
| Candles evaluated | 673 · 4h |
| Eval window | Jun 23, 2026 · 16:00 UTC → Jun 30, 2026 · 16:00 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 7 |
| Duration used in scoring | 7 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeB |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | heavy_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $62,400 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 751.27,
"mfe": 4372.78,
"mqs": 0.918624,
"ocs": 0.853384,
"tif": 0.883721,
"mfe_ts": "2026-06-25 14:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.580452,
"sigma_d": 0.02014859,
"eval_end": "2026-06-30 16:00:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.918624,
"max_close": 63014,
"min_close": 58290.17,
"eval_start": "2026-06-23 16:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 62487.79,
"trigger_ts": "2026-06-23 16:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 7,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 2.508676,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.809045,
"activation_price": 62487.79,
"dir_target_score": 0.870733,
"candles_evaluated": 673,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.027894,
"scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": 0,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 38,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
} 