Call Audit

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Passport #154198 · Jul 14, 2026 · 15:30 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@cryptopatel

Jul 14, 2026 · 15:30 UTC

$XRP has rallied into a high-confluence HTF resistance after confirming a bearish market structure shift. Confluence: ▶️ Bearish Order Block (OB) ▶️ Fair Value Gap (FVG) ▶️ Breakdown retest As long as HTF holds below $1.12, the bearish setup remains intact. Targets: → $1.058 → $1.013 → $0.950 → $0.900 The highest-probability trades come from retests of broken structure, not from chasing breakouts.

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

XRP

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	XRP
Direction	Short
Commitment	declarative
Duration	7 days · Short Term
Trigger	$1.12
Trigger Operator	Hold Above

AI Reasoning

1.12 is the trigger acting as resistance that must hold for the bearish setup to remain intact (Category A — hold below resistance). Targets range from 1.058 down to 0.900, extracted as target_lo/target_hi. Single claim.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = XRP declines to targets ($1.058–$0.900) after trigger fires. Per §0.5, 'as long as HTF holds below $1.12' is the trigger condition, not an outcome horizon. No outcome-anchored timeframe phrase exists. No bounce, bottom-call, urgency, or macro signal applies → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	XRP
Direction	Short
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$1.11
Target	$0.9 – $1.06
Duration	7 days · Short Term
Trigger level	$1.12
Trigger operator	Hold Above
Conditional operator	Category A — Hold/Defend/Maintain/Resistance
Trigger hit	Yes
Trigger time	Jul 15, 2026 · 00:00 UTC

Scoring

This call is conditional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	7
Duration used in scoring	7

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B->4B_modeB
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$1.11
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 0.001,
  "mfe": 0.0127,
  "mqs": 0.620512,
  "ocs": 0.92029,
  "tif": 0.666667,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-15 03:00:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.107837,
  "sigma_d": 0.02358047,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-15 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.620512,
  "max_close": 1.1117,
  "min_close": 1.0996,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-15 00:00:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": 1.1117,
  "trigger_ts": "2026-07-15 00:00:00+00:00",
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": true,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 14,
  "mew_days_used": 7,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.968933,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.578827,
  "activation_price": 1.1117,
  "dir_target_score": 0.225326,
  "candles_evaluated": 23,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.01179,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 3,
  "trigger_candle_index": 2,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 3,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 3
}