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Call Audit
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Passport #83985 · Jun 4, 2026 · 12:05 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈
This week really overperformed my most bearish expectations. Yes, I forecasted "elevator down" when bitcoin:native was at 81k, but I couldn't imagine it to lose 24% in just 20 days (where 17% lost just within these 4 days). As far as I remember what others wrote here and in Twitter, no one expected it.
Good news are that such strong dumps always pay off with a strong dead cat bounce. Most probably will cover the gap in between 67.5k and 70.5k - the only question is WHEN.
🎯 Key Levels
Above: 64920 / 67500 / 69000
Below: 60800 / 59800 / 58942
February 6th low at 59800 is the nearest big LP. Next is August close at 58942. I don't know what to expect beyond that.
⏰ Free TG alarms set for: D/W/M20sma, dev Y VWAP VAH, 82828, 78180, 76800, 64918, 59800 and wedge trendline
TradingView - https://t.co/rOraixzanx
#BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #Trading #CryptoTrading #CryptoMarket #LiquidityPools #PriceAction #MarketStructure #RiskManagement
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Forecaster predicts a dead cat bounce to cover the gap between 67.5k and 70.5k after a strong dump. 'Most probably' = mild hedge. Other numbers listed are key support/resistance levels and alarms, not targets.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC dead cat bounce covering the gap between 67.5k and 70.5k. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase; 'dead cat bounce' is classic Signal B (short-term bounce/relief rally) language → base 14.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $62,530 |
| Target | $67,500 – $70,500 |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.52composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.71 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.50 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.55 |
| Magnitude | 0.71 |
| Max Favorable Move | +7.6% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −7.6% |
| Candles evaluated | 2880 · 1d |
| Eval window | Jun 4, 2026 · 12:05 UTC → Jul 4, 2026 · 12:05 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $62,530 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 4729.81,
"mfe": 4762.15,
"mqs": 0.711452,
"ocs": 0.501704,
"tif": 0.548387,
"mfe_ts": "2026-06-15 16:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.335148,
"sigma_d": 0.01833968,
"eval_end": "2026-07-04 12:05:25+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.711452,
"max_close": 67292.14,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-04 12:05:25+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.242895,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.524173,
"activation_price": 62530,
"dir_target_score": 0.958177,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.061275,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 17,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}