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Passport #83567 · Jun 2, 2026 · 14:39 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
WI@wiseanalyze
Jun 2, 2026 · 14:39 UTC
ethereum:native high timeframe picture looks pretty ugly. The way it evolves price is targeting liquidity pool under ~1742 (February low).
After that dip either continue lower or trap shorts and bounce back above Feb close at 1965 and recover.
🎯 Key Levels
Above: 1965 / 2282 / 2473
Below: 1742 / 1650 / 1385
Now #Ethereum cost same as 5 years ago. If that is the longest bull flag in crypto history, breakout should be marvelous. But if ETH ends up same as any other altcoin, we may very well see it at 600 and 400 in a couple of years or earlier.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish tone ('looks pretty ugly', 'targeting liquidity pool under ~1742') indicates a down call. 1742 is the explicit predicted target. Numbers above (1965/2282/2473) are conditional bounce scenarios, not down-direction targets. 1650/1385 are listed as key levels below but not stated as predicted destinations. The 600/400 figures are speculative long-term hypotheticals, not extracted. 'Targeting' with conditional follow-through = mild_hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH drops to liquidity pool under ~1742. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase; 'high timeframe picture' describes the analysis frame, not a duration. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires for this directional leg → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $1,936 |
| Target | $1,742 – $1,742 |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.93composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 1.00 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.97 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 1.00 |
| Magnitude | 1.00 |
| Max Favorable Move | +22.2% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −0.6% |
| Candles evaluated | 2880 · 1d |
| Eval window | Jun 2, 2026 · 14:39 UTC → Jul 2, 2026 · 14:39 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $1,936 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 11.72,
"mfe": 430.6,
"mqs": 0.995986,
"ocs": 0.973503,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-06-06 05:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.769043,
"sigma_d": 0.02121843,
"eval_end": "2026-07-02 14:39:48+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.995986,
"max_close": 1941.36,
"min_close": 1518.97,
"eval_start": "2026-06-02 14:39:48+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 5.517886,
"target_hit_ts": "2026-06-04 02:15:00+00:00",
"accuracy_score": 0.934633,
"activation_price": 1936.28,
"dir_target_score": 1,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.040303,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 31,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
} 