Passport #143868 · Jul 2, 2026 · 11:53 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
The directional claim being extracted is the near-term bullish continuation call: 'might continue towards Daily 20EMA around ~62k and dig into resistance up to 63k.' Range extracted as 62000–63000. 65k is conditional on a breakout (belongs to the conditional claim, not this directional one). 'Might' indicates heavy hedging.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC continues up toward ~62k–63k. No explicit horizon attached to this outcome. The language describes a short-term bounce/continuation off a low with monitoring for rejection, fitting Signal B (short-term bounce/relief) at base 14.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 249.02,
"mfe": 4241.99,
"mqs": 0.53641,
"ocs": 0.944551,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-15 16:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.432741,
"sigma_d": 0.02478009,
"eval_end": "2026-07-16 11:53:55+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.53641,
"max_close": 65488,
"min_close": 61191.99,
"eval_start": "2026-07-02 11:53:55+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 14,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.768755,
"target_hit_ts": "2026-07-02 13:45:00+00:00",
"accuracy_score": 0.728426,
"activation_price": 61358.01,
"dir_target_score": 1,
"candles_evaluated": 1344,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.089931,
"scoring_candle_tf": "8h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 43,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}