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Passport #66346 · Mar 24, 2026 · 09:12 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
TI@timeless_crypto
Mar 24, 2026 · 09:12 UTC
We love to anchor ourselves to one side
And lets be clear here i've also been very guilty of it
Memes, talking in absolutes gets the clicks and comments
I enjoy the odd Bobo meme tbh they are fucking hilarious
May not have the same consensus but sure is fun to troll sometimes here
I apologise if i have come across as negative or whatever but its all buisness
Remember all is fair in love and war
On a real note, i still think crypto has the most asymetric upside potential here
Simply as a function of selling off before equities and being battered down on a YoY basis
And while this doesn't help my trading decisions on the daily, I do genuinely think if you are not nibbling a little bit of spot in this range you are doing it wrong
Sure we could go as low as 45 k (anything is possible) but that is why having a multi year horizon is key for the majority
Let the degens including myself argue over whether a wick bottom is in
You as a tourist and looking to capture value, start dollar cost averaging in on big dips of 6-10% and I genuinely think in 2 years or so you will be thankful
It is always darkest before the dawn
Survive sirs
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 730 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Author advocates accumulating spot BTC with belief in asymmetric upside over a 2-year horizon, clearly a bullish call. No explicit upside targets are stated. The 45k mention is a downside possibility, not a target in the direction of the call, so excluded. 'I genuinely think' and hedging language make this mild_hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC moves up over a multi-year horizon. 'In 2 years or so' is bound to the outcome ('you will be thankful'), not a trigger. D = 2026-03-24; '2 years or so' → 730 days per §3.2 ('couple of years / 2 years').
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $70,876 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 730 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 730 |
| Duration used in scoring | 730 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $70,876 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 13075.85,
"mfe": 11973.96,
"mqs": 0.598915,
"ocs": 0.478006,
"tif": 0.25,
"mfe_ts": "2026-05-06 11:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.155501,
"sigma_d": 0.02816921,
"eval_end": "2026-07-03 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.598915,
"max_close": 82684.01,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-03-24 09:12:17+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 730,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.913581,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.370605,
"activation_price": 70876.04,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 9682,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.184923,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1M",
"tif_total_aggregated": 4,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 4,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 4
} 