Passport #183378 · Aug 12, 2026 · 14:03 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Clear bearish call with 'massive wipeout' and 'one way traffic'. 'Mid to low 50s' interpreted as range 50k-55k. Declarative tone with 'is about to be' and 'See you in'.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC drops to mid-to-low 50s. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present. 'About to be one way traffic' has urgency flavor but is describing the nature of the move, not an imminent start signal tied to the outcome. No clear §4 signal fires beyond DEFAULT → 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 134.01,
"mfe": 476.12,
"mqs": 0.642402,
"ocs": 0.780358,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-12 15:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.034152,
"sigma_d": 0.01451578,
"eval_end": "2026-08-12 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 63439.02,
"magnitude": 0.642402,
"max_close": 63792.12,
"min_close": 63363.39,
"eval_start": "2026-08-12 14:03:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-12 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.028345,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.614228,
"activation_price": 63792.12,
"dir_target_score": 0.048763,
"candles_evaluated": 22,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.007258,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}