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Call Audit
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Passport #166122 · Jul 25, 2026 · 07:46 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
I get that some entities are front running risk off week ahead but this type of signature rarely goes unpunished
If it does, then we are in trouble
Otherwise expect mean reversion higher to remove this overzealous positioning
#BTC https://t.co/VGrVeM9yCT
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Author expects 'mean reversion higher' on BTC, indicating an up call. No specific price targets are provided. 'Expect' with the conditional framing ('if it does, then we are in trouble') indicates a mild hedge rather than a firm declaration.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC mean reverts higher. No explicit horizon attached to the outcome. 'Mean reversion' and 'overzealous positioning' language signals a short-term bounce/relief rally thesis → Signal B base 14.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $64,003 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
Scoring
0.48composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.71 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.50 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.53 |
| Magnitude | 0.71 |
| Max Favorable Move | +2.7% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −2.7% |
| Candles evaluated | 1344 · 8h |
| Eval window | Jul 25, 2026 · 07:46 UTC → Aug 8, 2026 · 07:46 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 14 |
| Duration used in scoring | 14 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $64,003 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1728.2,
"mfe": 1741.4,
"mqs": 0.714952,
"ocs": 0.501902,
"tif": 0.534884,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-27 06:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.180323,
"sigma_d": 0.01557684,
"eval_end": "2026-08-08 07:46:02+00:00",
"end_close": 64954.1,
"magnitude": 0.714952,
"max_close": 65668.2,
"min_close": 62340.01,
"eval_start": "2026-07-25 07:46:02+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-08 07:45:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 14,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.255096,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.483015,
"activation_price": 64003.2,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 1344,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.021678,
"scoring_candle_tf": "8h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 23,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}