Passport #166121 · Jul 25, 2026 · 07:44 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Direction is up based on 'expect mean reversion higher.' No specific price targets stated. 'Expect' with conditional framing ('if it does, then we are in trouble... otherwise') makes this a mild hedge rather than declarative.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC mean reverts higher. No explicit horizon attached to the outcome. 'Mean reversion higher to remove overzealous positioning' is bounce/relief register (short-term reflex rally off a low) → Signal B base 14; no tiebreaker cues fire.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1755.75,
"mfe": 1713.85,
"mqs": 0.70898,
"ocs": 0.493962,
"tif": 0.511628,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-27 06:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.177457,
"sigma_d": 0.01557683,
"eval_end": "2026-08-08 07:44:28+00:00",
"end_close": 64995.94,
"magnitude": 0.70898,
"max_close": 65668.2,
"min_close": 62340.01,
"eval_start": "2026-07-25 07:44:28+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-08 07:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 14,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.234363,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.473007,
"activation_price": 64030.75,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 1344,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.021684,
"scoring_candle_tf": "8h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 22,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}