Passport #160737 · Jul 19, 2026 · 09:48 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish lean based on 'Longs are hooked up' and 'would expect this delta to be shed' - implying overleveraged longs will get flushed, i.e., price down. 'imo' and 'would expect' = mild hedge. No numeric targets stated in the post.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC declines as overleveraged longs get liquidated. No explicit horizon attached to the outcome. 'In the interim' signals near-term urgency around a short-term squeeze/flush → Signal C base 14, no tiebreakers fire.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 2446.16,
"mfe": 2234.99,
"mqs": 0.422006,
"ocs": 0.477445,
"tif": 0.511628,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-01 18:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.228073,
"sigma_d": 0.01728271,
"eval_end": "2026-08-02 09:48:49+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.422006,
"max_close": 66944.4,
"min_close": 62370.01,
"eval_start": "2026-07-19 09:48:49+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 14,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.548192,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.409788,
"activation_price": 64509.99,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 1344,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.0632,
"scoring_candle_tf": "8h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 22,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}