Passport #176515 · Aug 5, 2026 · 18:47 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
ST@stockmoneyL
Aug 5, 2026 · 18:47 UTC
Buy low, sell high. Everyone says it. Nobody does it.
Because buying low feels awful. Boring, grinding, chart looks dead, and CT is a ghost town.
That's what a bottom feels like from the inside. It never actually tells you so.
Bitcoin's been like this for 6 months. Boring, cheap, and annoying.
And ironically, this is the exact setup everyone begs for and hates when it shows up.
So I built something to measure it: the Market Heat Index.
One score, three signals: trend, network, stretch.
Fold them together, the fakeouts drop out and the real turns stay. Ten years of data.
Right now: we're slowly crawling up off the lows while price still looks like nothing.
We probably swipe these lows one more time first. 53k max pain on weekly close.
One last shakeout to clear the leverage.
But under the boring chart, something's already moving: Accumulation.
I bought here and it doesn't feel like it yet. But that's the whole point of it.
I'm still building it. Not financial advice.
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
First leg is a directional move down to 53k. Language 'we probably swipe these lows one more time first' with '53k max pain on weekly close' identifies the reversal point. 'Probably' and 'one more time first' indicate a mild hedge with clear temporal path.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC drops to ~53k (swipes lows one more time). No outcome-anchored horizon phrase; 'weekly close' is trigger/candle language per §0.5. Bottom-call framing is on the reversal leg (claim 1), not this leg — no bounce/urgency/macro signal fires here → DEFAULT 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 118.07,
"mfe": 39.09,
"mqs": 0.073004,
"ocs": 0.248727,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-05 19:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.002761,
"sigma_d": 0.01591555,
"eval_end": "2026-08-05 19:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.073004,
"max_close": 64885.5,
"min_close": 64799.1,
"eval_start": "2026-08-05 18:47:53+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.075806,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.081123,
"activation_price": 64799.1,
"dir_target_score": 0,
"candles_evaluated": 3,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.007958,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}