Passport #176513 · Aug 5, 2026 · 18:45 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
ST@stockmoneyL
Aug 5, 2026 · 18:45 UTC
𝕏 Buy low, sell high. Everyone says it. Nobody does it.
Because buying low feels awful. Boring, grinding, chart looks dead, everyone's gone.
That's what a bottom feels like from the inside. It never rings a bell.
Bitcoin's been like this two years. Boring. Cheap. Annoying.
The exact setup everyone begs for and hates when it shows up.
So I built something to measure it: the Market Heat Index.
One score, three signals: trend, network, stretch.
Fold them together, the fakeouts drop out and the real turns stay. Ten years of data.
Right now: creeping up off the lows while price still looks like nothing.
We probably swipe these lows one more time first. 53k max pain, weekly close.
One last shakeout to clear the leverage.
But under the boring chart, something's already moving.
Accumulation.
I bought here. Doesn't feel like it yet. That's the point.
Still building it. Not financial advice.
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
First leg is a shakeout down to 53k ('swipe these lows one more time first, 53k max pain'). 'Probably' softens the commitment to mild_hedge. 53k is the reversal point / target of the first leg.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC drops to ~53k (swipe of lows). No explicit horizon attached to this outcome — 'weekly close' is trigger/candle language per §0.5, not an outcome horizon. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires for this leg → DEFAULT 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 118.07,
"mfe": 39.09,
"mqs": 0.073004,
"ocs": 0.248727,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-05 19:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.002761,
"sigma_d": 0.01591555,
"eval_end": "2026-08-05 19:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.073004,
"max_close": 64885.5,
"min_close": 64799.1,
"eval_start": "2026-08-05 18:45:21+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.075806,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.081123,
"activation_price": 64799.1,
"dir_target_score": 0,
"candles_evaluated": 3,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.007958,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}