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Passport #141565 · Jun 27, 2026 · 08:56 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
ST@stockmoneyL
Jun 27, 2026 · 08:56 UTC
𝕏 Bitcoin
Keep it simple. Bottom in late Q3/early Q4.
Then bull. https://t.co/o08AXxo4ZP
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 96 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Per Stage 2 guidance, only the first leg (bottom in late Q3/early Q4) is scored as directional down. No numeric target provided. Tone is declarative ('Keep it simple. Bottom in...').
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC bottoms (directional down). 'Late Q3/early Q4' is bound to the outcome. D = 2026-06-27; midpoint of late Q3 (Sep 30) and early Q4 (Oct 10) ≈ Oct 5, 2026; Oct 5 − Jun 27 = 100 days. Using 'early Q4' → Oct 10 = 105 days and 'late Q3' → Sep 30 = 95 days; midpoint = 100 days → explicit_timeframe = 100.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $60,456 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 96 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 96 |
| Duration used in scoring | 96 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $60,456 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 3005.99,
"mfe": 2655.81,
"mqs": 0.651547,
"ocs": 0.469075,
"tif": 0.5,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.111942,
"sigma_d": 0.0217221,
"eval_end": "2026-07-05 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.651547,
"max_close": 63439.87,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-27 08:56:07+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 96,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.054253,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.433141,
"activation_price": 60456,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 755,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.041669,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 2,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 2,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}