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Passport #154121 · Jul 14, 2026 · 09:00 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
ME@merlijntrader
Jul 14, 2026 · 09:00 UTC
LAST CPI PRINT: BITCOIN RALLIED 10.89%. THE ONE BEFORE: IT CRASHED 27.59%.
Same event. Opposite outcomes. One month apart.
That's the honest stat going into today's print anyone promising you a direction is guessing.
What's not a guess: $61K held every retest since July 1.
Hold it through the print: bulls keep the ball.
Lose it: the flush resumes.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | $61,000 |
| Trigger Operator | Break Below |
AI Reasoning
Claim 2: Losing $61K triggers 'the flush resumes' (down direction). No numeric target given.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC flushes lower if $61K is lost. Per §0.5, the CPI print timing is the trigger context, not an outcome horizon. No explicit timeframe on the downside move; no specific §4 signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $62,714 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger level | $61,000 |
| Trigger operator | Break Below |
| Conditional operator | Category B — Break/Dump/Lose/Close Below |
| Trigger hit | No |
Scoring
This call is conditional pending — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | — |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeB |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $62,714 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mqs": null,
"ocs": null,
"tif": null,
"status": "untriggered",
"eval_end": "2026-07-15 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": null,
"eval_start": "2026-07-14 09:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_ts": null,
"trigger_hit": false,
"review_flags": {},
"accuracy_score": null,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 83
} 