Passport #173930 · Aug 2, 2026 · 14:00 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 120 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Clear bullish directional call: 'upside heavily outweighs downside' and comparing 50k to 12k implies major upside like the 12k-to-ATH move. No specific price target is stated—50k is a reference/current level, not a predicted destination. Declarative tone with 'Max Opportunity' and no hedging language.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC moves significantly upward (macro bull thesis). 'Over the coming years', '2016 & 2020' cycle comparisons, and 'Max Opportunity' are earnest macro/cycle framing → Signal H base 120.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 39.08,
"mfe": 520.93,
"mqs": 0.548289,
"ocs": 0.930215,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-02 18:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.018896,
"sigma_d": 0.02078,
"eval_end": "2026-08-02 19:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.548289,
"max_close": 63502.01,
"min_close": 63069.37,
"eval_start": "2026-08-02 14:00:01+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 120,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.794712,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.62435,
"activation_price": 63089.08,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 21,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.01039,
"scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}