Passport #163582 · Jul 23, 2026 · 15:48 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 120 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
The analogy of buying BTC now being like buying at $19K last cycle strongly implies a bullish up call, suggesting significant upside ahead. The $19K reference is a historical price comparison, not a target. No explicit price target is given. Tone is declarative with 'I can assure you'.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC moves significantly higher (cycle-level appreciation). The analogy to buying at $19K last cycle is earnest macro/cycle framing with no explicit horizon. Signal H applies (cycle-level bull market thesis); base 120.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 308.36,
"mfe": 65.32,
"mqs": 0.091574,
"ocs": 0.174802,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-23 16:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.002302,
"sigma_d": 0.02094014,
"eval_end": "2026-07-23 19:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.091574,
"max_close": 64958.36,
"min_close": 64681.27,
"eval_start": "2026-07-23 15:48:09+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 120,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.096042,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.06717,
"activation_price": 64958.36,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 14,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.01047,
"scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}